Football Tips: In-form Andrew Beasley’s 23/1 Forest v Man United Bet Builder

Our football tipster Andrew Beasley landed a 25/1 winner on the Old Firm derby last week and is back for more this weekend.

Nottingham Forest v Man United Bet Builder Betting Tips

By / Football Tips / 2 years ago

Forest v Man United Bet Builder Tips:

Man United to Win
Under 2.5 Goals
Man United to have 5 Or More Shots On Target
Under 9.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Cards

A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 23/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

Sunday 4:30pm: Nottingham Forest v Man United
TV: Sky Sport Main Event/Premier League 

Nottingham Forest head into the weekend as second favourites in the relegation market, third bottom in the table and on a run of nine league matches without a win, the longest run in the Premier League. 

So who better to face than a team who have already beaten them three times in all competitions in the last four months by an aggregate scoreline of 8-0? Just about anyone, obviously. 

Manchester United won 3-0 in the corresponding league fixture and by the same scoreline at the City Ground in the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final. Erik ten Hag’s boys are understandably strong favourites to collect a fourth Forest victory of the season. 

Manchester United to Win

If Steve Cooper’s side are to stay up, they will need to rely on their home form. Forest have the worst away record in the division but are solidly mid-table for games played in front of their own fans. They will hope United’s 2-2 draw against Sevilla will have taken a toll. It certainly did in the centre of their defence, with Raphael Varane and Lisandro Martinez both going off injured.

While the visitors have only lost one of their six league games which has directly followed a Europa League match, their record of 1.83 points per game is a touch down on their 1.96 average in their other games.

It’s also notable that only two of their post-Europa League games were away from Old Trafford (though they did win the Carabao Cup three days after beating Barcelona). In those matches they lost at Aston Villa and had to come from behind to beat Everton.

Despite that less than ringing endorsement of their chances, the visitors should be fine here. Forest only have one home win against a team who start the weekend in the top 11, and it needed Liverpool to miss four big chances for them to collect that solitary victory. United should win fairly easily here.

Under 2.5 Goals

If Forest upset the odds on Sunday, their record this term shows they will need a clean sheet and it will be a low scoring affair. Five of their six wins have been by a 1-0 scoreline, with only their victory against Leicester offering the dizzying entertainment of a 2-0 (with the second goal in the 85th minute – just five minutes of blessed relief).

It’s a similar picture for United. Only one of their five away wins against the bottom eight has paid out on over 2.5 goals and they are unlikely to go goal crazy on the tight turnaround from Thursday night. Marcus Rashford being unavailable only accentuates the feeling, so take under 2.5 goals.

Man United to have 5 Or More Shots On Target

Ten Hag’s men should have plenty of efforts on target though. They have averaged 4.7 shots on target per away game in 2022/23, and with Forest conceding at least six when hosting Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham, it’s safe to assume the visitors will have at least five shots on target. 

Under 9.5 Corners 

As well as struggling for goals and points, Cooper’s boys have also had the fewest corners in the Premier League this term. There have only been six instances of a home team failing to have a single one this season and two of them are on Forest’s ledger.

While these stats aren’t that odd, it might surprise you to learn that United have had the fewest corners on the road. They have averaged just 3.4 per game and have yet to record more than five. This combination of stats means under 9.5 corners is the bet to take.

Over 3.5 Cards

Forest have been the Premier League’s worst behaved team so far this season, having both collected the most bookings and had the most games paid out on Over 3.5 cards. They’ve also had more yellows at home than away, one of only four teams for whom that is the case. While United have not been as naughty, only four clubs have picked up more bookings on the road.

In short, everything spells cards galore. Everything except referee Simon Hooper, that is. He has averaged 2.9 yellows per game across his Premier League career, the second fewest of the current refs. But as 2022/23 is his card-heaviest campaign to date, we should be safe for over 3.5 cards here.

Forest v Man United Betting Tips:

Man United to Win
Under 2.5 Goals
Man United to have 5 Or More Shots On Target
Under 9.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Cards

A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 23/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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