Football Tips: Tipman’s tasty 10/3 fouls special for Leeds v Forest tonight

Tipman have crunched the numbers for tonight's huge relegation six-pointer.

Comments

Leeds v Nottingham Forest Tips

Marc Roca to Commit 1 or More Fouls
Felipe to Commit 1 or More Fouls
Brennan Johnson to Commit 1 or More Fouls
Junior Firpo to Commit 2 or More Fouls

Leeds v Forest
Tuesday, March 4: 7.45pm

Marc Roca to Commit 1 or More Fouls

Marc Roca looks certain to start this game in the middle for Leeds with Tyler Adams missing. Roca has started the previous three games for Leeds and the Spaniard has picked up five bookings in his 24 appearances.

He commits an average of 1.3 fouls per game and is fouled 1.01 times per game showing he is thick in the action. Add to that the magnitude of this game with Premier League survival on the line, we anticipate this leg will land with ease.

Felipe to Commit 1 or More Fouls

The Brazilian signing from Atletico Madrid looks set to retain his place in the Forest line up after a solid performance against Wolves. Since returning from injury Felipe has started all seven games and usually plays all 90 minutes.

A player that has averaged a booking every four games throughout his career, Felipe has committed a huge 1.87 fouls per game in his seven starts for Steve Cooper’s Forest, and is fouled 1.4 times per game showing he is always in the thick of the action and fights for every ball.

We wouldn’t be surprised to see this land in the first 10 minutes at Elland Road.

Brennan Johnson to Commit 1 or More Fouls

It is likely that Brennan Johnson will be up against Junior Firpo for Leeds. This is a very interesting match-up with two fast and powerful players who aren’t scared of getting stuck in.

Johnson averages 1.05 fouls per game but will have to concentrate on defensive duties for large spells here away at Leeds, against a left-back that will push forward. He’s picked up seven bookings so far this season and we anticipate he will commit at least one foul here.

Junior Firpo to Commit 2 or More Fouls

Junior Firpo looks likely to keep his place here at left-back ahead of Pascal Struijk. Firpo averages a huge 1.71 fouls per game and is likely to be up against Nottingham Forest’s top scorer, the aforementioned tricky Brennan Johnson who comes high in confidence.

The defender has picked up four bookings in his 10 starts for Leeds this season and 11 in 24 last season. Johnson is fouled 0.61 times per game. We expect Firpo to make 2+ fouls here in this huge home game.

Leeds v Forest Referee: Robert Jones

The referee for this clash is Robert Jones, who gives an average of 22.17 fouls per game. We have tipped just five fouls here, covering four players statistically likely to be heavily involved.

Jones awards a higher than average amount of free kicks per game and bookings, with 22.17 fouls and 4.06 bookings per game this season. This opens itself up for a higher-than-average amount of fouls per game.

This is a huge match in the relegation battle this season and could put a huge hole in either side’s survival chances. Steve Cooper described the Wolves game as a must-not-lose rather than a must win, and he will probably have similar feelings here away at Leeds in this ‘six pointer’.

Leeds v Nottingham Forest Betting Tips

TIPMAN’S FOULS SPECIAL

Marc Roca to Commit 1 or More Fouls
Felipe to Commit 1 or More Fouls
Brennan Johnson to Commit 1 or More Fouls
Junior Firpo to Commit 2 or More Fouls

This free tip has been provided by Tipman Tips. Tipman Tips are the UK’s Largest subscription based tipping service with over 2,000 subscribers. Tipman provide Tips on Racing, Football and many other sports. The Tipsters boast an impressive record averaging over 60 points profit per month and all the tips are tracked live on their website . You can claim a completely free 30 day trial here.

READ MORE

The latest football odds are on PaddyPower.com now

THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO SAFER GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW