
Brighton v Liverpool Bet Builder tips
Brighton to Win
Over 2.5 Goals
Darwin Nunez to have 1 or More Shots On Target
Under 9.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Cards
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Brighton v Liverpool, Sunday 13:30
TV: ITV
Brighton to win
Paddy has Liverpool as favourites so he obviously thinks they will prevail. The problem is, they were expected to win two weeks ago and look at how that turned out. The odds have at least tipped away from the visitors and towards Brighton this time around.
The difficulty in attempting to forecast the match is that it is hard to know how many line-up changes both managers will make. Brighton are sixth in the table, have two games in hand on the clubs either side of them and host Bournemouth next weekend so should be good for another three points there. Does a cup run matter when they might qualify for Europe in the league?
As Roberto De Zerbi fielded a pretty strong team at Middlesbrough in the last round, it’s fair to assume he’ll do similarly here. While Liverpool threw in a stinker last time at the Amex, Brighton should have really also won at Anfield. The underlying numbers have the home side as strong favourites, so their odds are too tasty to turn down.
Over 2.5 goals
These teams are joint-third in the Premier League for matches featuring at least three goals, with it occurring in 13 of their 19 games so far this season.
Brighton’s form on this front has accelerated since De Zerbi took charge too. He began with a 3-3 draw at Liverpool, and after a quiet few games, over 2.5 goals has paid out in the Seagulls’ last nine league matches in a row.
The visitors will try to keep the game tight but they’ve been unable to do that too often this season. We can expect three-or-more goals here.
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Darwin Nunez to have 1 or more shots on target
Aside from trotting on for the final minute of the match back in October, Darwin Nunez has yet to face Brighton. He will be very keen to make a mark here.
The Uruguayan has been mocked for his finishing ever since the first game of pre-season. Although he has undoubtedly missed some big chances, he also has 10 goals for Liverpool despite only making 15 starts for the club. Not bad for a fraud, eh?
The Reds’ agent of chaos might score here, he might blast the ball into the stands. We can be confident he’ll have at least one shot on target, though, as he averages 2.3 per 90 minutes this season, the most in Europe’s big five leagues.
Under 9.5 corners
The average Premier League game contains 10.4 corners and that’s how many have been in Liverpool’s matches this season too. Brighton are slightly lower (10.0) and the two meetings of these teams in the last four months fell each side of that mark.
Longer term, there has been an average of 9.3 in the last six clashes, and under 9.5 has paid out in four of them. This match should continue the trend.
Over 3.5 cards
Klopp’s good boys don’t tend to pick up many bookings. Or at least they didn’t until their horror show at Brighton – in trying to be far more competitive as a response, the Reds have picked up three bookings in each of their last two matches.
There were over 3.5 cards in three of the previous four meetings at the Amex, and three in the other. With David Coote – 3.5 bookings per Premier League game on average – in charge, there should be at least four cards in a fiery match.
Brighton v Liverpool Betting Tips
Brighton to Win
Over 2.5 Goals
Darwin Nunez to have 1 or More Shots On Target
Under 9.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Goals
A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 25/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
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