Man City v Spurs Bet Builder Tips
Man City to Win
Both Teams to Score
Erling Haaland to have 1 or More Shots on Target in Each Half
Under 9.5 Corners
Under 2.5 Cards
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Man City v Spurs, Premier League, Thursday 8pm.
TV: Sky Sports Premier League
The biggest Premier League match in midweek sees two teams licking their wounds from derby defeats last weekend. As the results left Arsenal as odds-on favourites to win the Premier League, it was bad for Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur on many levels.
Not that Antonio Conte can worry about the league title. His side are longer odds for a top four finish than the listless, shapeless, performance art piece that is Liverpool. It’s unfair to call a visit to the Etihad a ‘must win’ game but three points would certainly give their Champions League hopes a boost.
And if Spurs do get three points, they will become the first team to win three successive league matches against a Pep Guardiola side. They may not have a better opportunity to secure this niche piece of football history.
Man City to Win
City have only taken 10 points from their last six games, their worst such run for about 18 months. A loss at Old Trafford is one thing, but one point from their last two home games (against Brentford and Everton) is very unsatisfactory.
The good news for the Cityzens is that Tottenham have been in worse form, both generally – with seven points from their last six matches – and in other big games in the Premier League.
Spurs sit bottom of the Big Six mini league for this season, with just one point to show for their five matches. In their 23 such games on the road since the beginning of 2018/19, Tottenham have won three times and that’s one more than the expected goal data suggests they’ve deserved.
Tottenham also only have two clean sheets in their previous 23 away league meetings with Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and the Manchester clubs, and none in their last 11 (conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game in that latter stretch). Even a City team that looks far less secure at the back than in years gone by still has the third best defensive record in the division. They can outscore Tottenham to end their poor run against them.
Both Teams to Score
While Spurs’ lack of clean sheets in their hardest away games will likely prove decisive, it is fair to point out they often score in these matches too. Tottenham have only drawn a blank six times on the road to the other members of the Big Six in the last five seasons. That’s fewer than City in this period and only Liverpool have a better record.
Four teams in the Premier League have seen Both Teams to Score pay out in more of their matches than Spurs in 2022/23, and City are just one behind them. The most recent clash of these clubs was the only one of the last six in which they both scored but it looks likely here.
Erling Haaland to have 1 or more Shots on Target in Each Half
Much has been made of Spurs’ struggles before the break this season. If anything sums their difficulties up, it’s that Erling Haaland has scored as many first half goals in the Premier league as they have. The Nordic meat shield is also the division’s top scorer in second halves, albeit he’s only one ahead of Harry Kane in this regard.
Haaland is on a relative drought too, having failed to score in his last two league games. Imagine that, what a fraud etc. Whether he scores here or not, the Tottenham back line should cough up some chances so the probable Golden Boot winner for 2022/23 can have a shot on target in each half.
Under 9.5 Corners
If you look at how many corners teams have had away from home this season you’ll find Tottenham in among the top six. However, that’s largely because they had 19 at Bournemouth. They might find themselves 2-0 down here as they did that day, but they won’t have anywhere near as many corners – in their other eight aways they’ve averaged just 3.3 with no more than five in any single game.
With City bottom of the league for total corners this season, only having five when they hosted and battered United 6-3, selecting under 9.5 for this match looks wise. Four of the last five meetings of these sides featured no more than 10.
Under 2.5 Cards
When these teams met in north London in February 2020 there were five yellow cards shown and a red for Oleksandr Zinchenko. Even so, there has only been an average of 3.5 cards in the last six City and Tottenham clashes.
We also have the factor of Simon Hooper, the referee, here. Only one whistler with at least 60 Premier League matches under their belt averages fewer cards per game. In his one previous Big Six match (United vs. Tottenham earlier this season) he made just one booking. Under 2.5 cards here should be a certainty.
Man City v Spurs Bet Builder Tips
Man City to Win
Both Teams to Score
Erling Haaland to have 1 or More Shots on Target in Each Half
Under 9.5 Corners
Under 2.5 Cards
*A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 28/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
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