Bet Builder Tips: Our 23/1 flutter for Forest Green v Exeter on Saturday

Our tipster Colin Harvey sets you up for Saturday's early televised game.

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The Draw
Both Teams To Score
Over 10.5 Corners
Sam Nombe to Score Anytime

A Bet Builder using these selections pays at approximately 23/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.

Saturday 12:30pm: Forest Green Rovers v Exeter City
TV: Sky Sports Football

The Draw

The international break gives us a chance to take a wonder down some of English football’s lesser-trodden paths and this weekend the TV cameras are off to the Westcountry for Forest Green v Exeter City in League One. These two are newly-promoted sides and both have made middling starts to their third-tier campaigns.

The good thing from a betting perspective is that these two have played each other a lot in League Two in recent years. As it stands they’re 22nd and 15th but only three points separate them at this early stage.

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FGR pipped The Grecians to the League Two title last term but their squad has been severely weakened over the summer while City appear to have gotten a bit stronger, especially with the loan addition of Jay Stansfield from Fulham. This season Exeter are yet to win away from home, taking two points from their four games on the road.

Forest Green’s home record is only slightly better than City’s away record with three points taken from five home matches, with four of them ending in defeat. There’s not much good current form to guide us so I’ll side with a big trend in their historical results which have seen four straight stalemates in their last four league matches over the last two seasons. Based on that alone it’s got to be The Draw.

Both Teams To Score

Those draws have seen a grand total of two goals in four games with both coming four games back in December 2020. However, given that the goals have been flying in this year I think we might see this barren run end on Saturday. The hosts have conceded 18 goals in nine games, scoring eight in the process.

Exeter have been a bit more frugal with 10 let in at 12 scored at the other end. Five of those conceded have come in their last two and they’ve been shocking from set pieces of late as injuries to the backline start to take their toll. With a combined average of 2.65 goals per match We’ll go with Both Teams To Score.

Over 10.5 Corners

These two tend to be involved in games with plenty of corners. FGR’s home games have averaged exactly 11 corners per match this season with them racking up 25 and their visitors winning 30. City’s games on the road have seen an average of 13 per match with them having 27 and giving up 25 in their four matches.

Interestingly, the last time these two met at The New Lawn The Grecians battered their hosts in a 0-0 draw and had 13 corners by themselves in a match that had a total 19. At a nice price I’ll take Over 10.5 Corners with these two averaging 12 a match when their home and away totals are combined.

Sam Nombe to Score Anytime

Sam Nombe is a key player for The Grecians but he is quite injury prone and they do tend to look after him a bit. He didn’t start in their 2-0 defeat at Burton last weekend so I think he’s primed to get the nod from the off here.

He’s the top scorer of anyone on display at the weekend with four goals in 10 across all competitions and is averaging a goal every other game per 90 minutes played (he gets taken off a lot as well). Connor Wickham seems the man most likely for the hosts but I’ll side with Nombe to Score Anytime to round us off.

Forest Green v Exeter betting tips

The Draw
Both Teams To Score
Over 10.5 Corners
Sam Nombe to Score Anytime

A Bet Builder using these selections pays at approximately 23/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.

All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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