Football Tips: Paddy Power’s top trader picks his 3 value punts this weekend

Our trader Emmet O'Keeffe reckons he's found some value in the market.

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Everyone is looking to find a bit of value for their weekend footy bets and Paddy Power trader Emmet O’Keeffe is on hand to help you lucky lot out.

Our expert odds ace has put together a trio of value bets he feels are a fair price across Europe this weekend. Take it away, Emmet…

2:30pm: Bochum v Werder Bremen – Werder Bremen to Win
5:30pm: Aston Villa v Man City – Man City -1
8pm: Sevilla v Barcelona – Barcelona to Win

*A treble with these bets pays at approximately 7/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

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2:30pm: Bochum v Werder Bremen – Werder Bremen to Win

I fancy Werder Bremen to Win but this is a bet against Bochum rather than a bet for Werder Bremen. Bochum have conceded the most goals – and have the worst xG – in the German Bundesliga and it’s not just because they got tonked 7-0 by Bayern Munich last month. Freiburg racked up over five xG against them last week but could only find the net once.

Werder Bremen look a decent mid-table team who have already beaten Borussia Dortmund away this season and have scored two goals in each of their four Bundesliga matches. I would expect that streak to continue on Saturday and the price is fair.

5:30pm: Aston Villa v Man City – Man City -1

Aston Villa are one of the poorest teams in the league and they look totally lifeless in possession. Man City won’t let them out of their half. I can see the Villa crowd getting mutinous and turning on Steven Gerrard if City go in front.

Only Arsenal’s poor finishing stopped the game in midweek from being a hammering and Erling Haaland won’t be so generous.

8pm: Sevilla v Barcelona – Barcelona to Win

It’s typical Sevilla that they’ve sold their two best centre halves for £70m and replaced them for £25m. It’s a tough ask to step into the shoes of Diego Carlos and Jules Kounde, especially given Sevilla’s defence is what they built their success on last year with no team in La Liga conceding less goals.

It appears that Sevilla aren’t as solid defensively this year and their attack isn’t good enough to compensate. Barcelona, on the other hand, will be a dominant team in La Liga this season. They should push towards 90 points and they’re a fair price to win on Saturday night.

Saturday’s trader tips

2:30pm: Bochum v Werder Bremen – Werder Bremen to Win
5:30pm: Aston Villa v Man City – Man City -1
8pm: Sevilla v Barcelona – Barcelona to Win

*A treble with these bets pays at approximately 7/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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