Football Accumulator Tips: Tuesday night’s 22/1 four-fold flutter

Our footy tipster Paddy Murphy has his say on Champions League and EFL Cup action

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

For Tuesday’s footballing action we’re looking at three Champions League Qualifiers where Monaco face PSV, Belgium’s Union St Gilloise face Rangers and Benfica host Midtjylland.

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Elsewhere, the EFL Cup begins in England with League One’s Cambridge United taking on the Championship’s Millwall at the Abbey Stadium.

We’re poured over the stats here to find a value-heavy four-fold Acca, so let’s get straight into the action.

*An accumulator with these bets pays at approximately 22/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

The latest football odds are on PaddyPower.com right now

19:00 Monaco vs PSV: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

Monaco come into the first leg of their Champions League Qualifier as narrow favourites but PSV will fancy their chances of advancing to the next round of the competition.

The French side finished third in Ligue 1 last season and in their preparations for this match haven’t exactly been faultless in their recent friendly games, losing to Southampton and Porto while drawing with Inter and Austria Vienna and beating Portugal’s Portimonense.

PSV have beaten Eindhoven and Real Betis over two recent friendlies and got their Dutch season off to a win, beating Ajax 5-3 in the Super Cup last Saturday night.

The good news for Monaco is that they’ve been in decent goal-scoring form, scoring eight over their last five games but have conceded nine as well. Looking at their last five competitive home games too they’ll take much confidence as they won all five, scoring 12 while conceding just three.

PSV have scored 13 over their last five and over their last five away competitive games have won three and drawn two, scoring 11 while conceding seven.

Based on recent results we’d be tempted to go with the away side but the hosts are proven tough nuts on home soil so with both in good goal-scoring nick the best value here is in goals; we’re backing Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals here.

19:45 Cambridge United vs Millwall: Both Teams to Score

Both sides got their respective league campaigns off to a winning start last Saturday: Cambridge beat MK Dons 1-0 while Millwall took three points from their opening-day clash with Stoke City.

The hosts had lost three and won one of their pre-season friendlies, while Millwall won two of their five friendly games, losing one and drawing two (losing one on penalties). This is a re-run of last season’s EFL Cup game between them in the second round where the Lions won 3-1 at the Den.

Looking at previous competitive games for both sides; Cambridge have won two, drawn one and lost two while on home soil share the same record with six goals scored to nine conceded. The away side have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five league games while on the road have drawn three and lost two, scoring five while conceding eight.

The market will be backing the visitors here but that away record is pretty dodgy; with both teams scoring and conceding plenty over recent friendlies and competitive games the value here is in backing both teams to get on the scoresheet.

19:45 Union St Gilloise vs Rangers: Both Teams to Score in the Second Half

The season before last, Union were promoted to the top tier and indeed topped the Belgian Pro Jupiler at the end of league play until it was split into the Champions Group where Club Brugge pipped them to the title by four points. They began their league recently taking four points from six with a win and a draw.

Rangers got their league campaign off to a win last weekend with a 1-2 victory over Livingston having been 1-0 down at half-time. Union have been pretty decent over their warm-up games, drawing with Sporting and Brighton and beating Feyenoord 0-4 away from home. Rangers too have looked pretty good, beating Blackpool and West Ham and then losing 1-2 to Spurs at home.

Looking at recent competitive games though, Union have won two, drawn one and lost two on home soil, scoring five while conceding five (one game we didn’t include was a 5-0 win which was awarded to them following crowd trouble). Rangers have won two of their last five away games, drawing two (losing one on penalties) and losing one, scoring seven and conceding five.

BTTS looks like the obvious pick here but the odds are a bit low for us. Delving deeper into the stats we see that five of those seven Rangers’ goals were in the second period of play while three of Union’s five were also scored after half-time. BTTS in the Second Half has the better value here.

20:00 Benfica vs Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score

At first glance it would appear that Denmark’s Midtjylland come into this first leg tie holding the upper hand as they’ve played five competitive games so far this season, winning one, drawing three (winning one on pens) and losing one.

However, Benfica have boxed cleverly over most of their friendlies, beating Newcastle, Fulham, Nice, Girona and, ahem, Reading. Looking at their five most recent competitive games, they have won three, drawn one and lost one while on home soil have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring six and conceding six.

The Danes’ away record has seen them winning three of their last five on the road, drawing the other two (winning both on pens), scoring 12 and conceding four.

The hosts are very short odds to win here but we must point out that they conceded five over those four home friendlies and have conceded in eight of their last 10 competitive home fixtures. BTTS at above Evens at the time of writing is some mighty value.

Tuesday Footy Acca Tips

19:00 Monaco vs PSV: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals
19:45 Cambridge United vs Millwall: Both Teams to Score
19:45 Union St Gilloise vs Rangers: Both Teams to Score in the Second Half
20:00 Benfica vs Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score

*An accumulator with these bets pays at approximately 22/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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