Football Tips: Paddy trader’s 2 best bets for West Brom v Brighton

It's the battle of the Albions at 3pm this Saturday and Paddy's top football trader Jason Murphy's here to take a look at the best bets.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

Brighton to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

The bet I fancy in this one is Brighton to Win and Over 2.5 Goals. The reason for this is that West Brom can’t afford to sit back for the full 90 minutes and play for another draw. They’ve had a draw in their last two home games.

They celebrated the draw against Manchester United which was a good result for them. But, in terms of their position in the table, they needs wins.

Saturday 3pm: West Brom v Brighton
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They’ve conceded 55 goals this season. That’s 2.2 goals per game. If you look at the top five European leagues that’s the worst defence of any team at the moment.

I just think Brighton, we know about their finishing issues, but they have to start worrying that they’re not taking their chances at this stage. But, against West Brom, with their defensive record, and knowing that they have to come out and play at some stage, Brighton to Win with Over 2.5 Goals is a good angle for this game.

Pascal Gross to Score First

The tip I’m going to give up is a bigger price, so we’re staying away from those Brighton forwards who don’t take their chances. We’re going to tip up Pascal Gross to Score First. A big reason for this is that we’re with the penalty angle as well.

Brighton should dominate possession which means West Brom are camped in their box and that creates more of a chance for a Brighton penalty. He’s taken two penalties this season and converted both of them.

He didn’t take Brighton’s last penalty because he wasn’t on the pitch. Neal Maupay took it who has missed penalties this season. Gross should start the game, I think he’s started seven of the last eight in the league and he should be on penalties and free kicks. At the price on offer Pascal Gross to Score First is worth a look.

Jason’s tips for West Brom v Brighton

Brighton to Win and Over 2.5 Goals
Pascal Gross to Score First

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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