Football tips: Our 3 delightful derby punts for Inter v AC Milan on Tuesday

Our European football tipster Paddy Murphy is here with your picks for the Milan Derby.



Both Inter and AC Milan can take a step towards landing a Serie A and Coppa Italia double with a victory here. These teams are fighting it out at the top of the Serie A table, with Milan ahead of Inter by just two points with a game in hand.

Inter can get one over their oldest of rivals here and, when playing as the home team, have won four out of the last six meetings between the pair. The match may well define the season for both teams here and it should be a cracker. Let’s have a look for the Three Best Bets.

Tuesday 19:45 – Inter v AC Milan
BT Sport 3

Both Teams to Score in the Second Half

20 goals were scored over those six matches mentioned above, 12 of which were scored in the second half of play. Looking at their Serie A matches this season Inter have scored a whopping 73.3% of their goals in the second half of matches. Milan have scored 53.8% of their goals in the second period of play as well.

Digging a little deeper into the stats, Inter have scored 18 over their nine home league matches while Milan have scored 10 over their nine away matches. Over their previous five home matches, Inter have scored eight second half goals as well. Meanwhile, Milan have netted four in their last five.

With those stats we should be looking at a match with most of the action in the second half, so we’re getting very good odds here.

Antonio Conte Inter Milan Benevento Serie A September 30, 2020

Read More:

Inter to Win

This will be the 193rd meeting between the sides over the years, it will be the 96th with Inter as the home team. As the hosts, they’ve won 36, Milan have won 27, while 36 have ended in a draw. So, it’s pretty even over the years, even though Inter have held the upper hand over recent seasons.

Inter are in good home form, they’ve lost just one of their last 10 matches in all competitions, while Milan have lost just one of their last 22 on the road in all competitions. We’re going with Inter here though because over their last three matches Milan have only scored two goals. They had to beat Torino on penalties in the last round of the cup, scored two against Cagliari a week later and then lost 0-3 at home to Atalanta at the weekend.

Inter, on the other hand, have six strikes over their last four matches, three of them were away matches and, as mentioned above, having the upper hand against Milan over the last few seasons will give them an extra boost of confidence coming into this match. It’ll be tight, no doubt about that, but we’re backing Inter to prevail here.

Over 3.5 Goals

Three out of the last five meetings with Inter as the home side have seen Over 3.5 goals and both teams are full of goals on their day. Inter are averaging 2.37 goals per league match this season, conceding 1.21.Milan, for their part, are scoring 2.05 and conceding 1.16.

This match is massive, simply massive and had they not been drawn together we would likely have seen rotated sides here. But, as this result could now define where the silverware ends up this season both teams will be fired up and going all out to put their oldest of foes out of the reckoning.

Inter v AC Milan betting tips summary:

Both Teams to Score in the Second Half
Inter to Win
Over 3.5 Goals


Get the latest Premier League odds on


What do you think?