Football tips: Our superb 26/1 fivefold European acca for Saturday’s games

Our tipster Paddy Murphy has cast his eye around Europe for some value

James Tavernier Rangers Wissam Ben Yedder Monaco Peter Gulacsi RB Leipzig Zlatan Ibrahimovic AC Milan Karim Benzema Real Madrid

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

For this Saturday’s European acca we’re taking a look at the title races in Scotland, Germany, Italy and Spain while we’re also including France’s Ligue 1, considering Monaco are in such flying form.

Let’s have a look then at all the teams involved and where we’ve found some value in the markets.

2.30pm: Mainz v RB Leipzig – Leipzig to Win to Nil

Mainz haven’t won a league match since late November and haven’t won a home league match since last June. Lump on Leipzig? Well, not at those odds. Let’s get some more out of it before we part with our money. All four previous meetings between the sides saw Over 2.5 goals, with three of them seeing Over 3.5. This is a must win for the away side, as they’re four points behind Bayern at the top of the table.

Mainz have only scored in two of their last seven Bundesliga matches and of their five most recent home league matches they failed to score in four of them. Leipzig have kept five clean sheets over their last seven Bundesliga matches and while their away record has seen them just keep two over their last four, their overall record v Mainz’s lack of goals means we’re still getting a great price here on Leipzig to Win to Nil.

3.00pm: Rangers v Ross County – Rangers to Win to Nil

Rangers have now gone 25 league matches without a loss. Ross County have gone one. The Gers have only ever played County 12 times, but they’ve won nine games and three have ended in a draw. They’ve not exactly been goalfests either, with four of their last five at Ibrox ending with Under 2.5 goals. Ranger’s clean sheet record is impressive, as they’ve only conceded one goal at home in the league.

Saturday, 3.00pm: Rangers v Ross Country
Rangers TV

Ross County have failed to score in four of their last eight on their league travels and in two of their last four visits to Ibrox as well. Those stats versus Rangers’ home record of clean sheets means we have to go again with the home side to Win to Nil.

 

Steven Gerrard James Tavernier Rangers Lech Poznan October 29, 2020

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5.00pm: AC Milan v Atalanta – Milan to Score Over 1.5 Goals

There’ll be a bit of pressure on the home side to take the three points here. City rivals Inter sit just three points behind them at the top of Serie A and look set to take the points away to Udinese later in the evening. It’s all to play for then and both sides are in good form here, with Milan having only lost one of their last 30 league matches while Atalanta have lost just one of their last 16.

Saturday, 5.00pm: AC Milan v Atalanta
Premier Sports 2

With those records we should see plenty of goals here then. Milan are averaging 2.2 per home league match and Zlatan Ibrahimovic is back in the team after an injury. Indeed, he scored two goals against Cagliari in his first start back on Monday night. Atalanta are averaging 2.11 goals per away Serie A match.

Milan have scored at least two goals in 13 of their last 15 home league matches. This is going to be a very tough match for both teams and while the Rossoneri may not come out on top they’ve certainly got the momentum to continue that trend. We’re getting mighty good odds here, so we’re backing Milan to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

8.00pm: Monaco v Marseille – Monaco to Win

Monaco have won four and drawn one of their last five Ligue 1 matches while Marseille are really struggling at the moment. The away side have won just one of their last five in the league and, to make matters worse, they’ve scored just one goal over their last three league matches.

The home side have bagged 10 points out of a possible 15 at home of late, scoring 11. Marseille have taken seven over their five most recent away matches, scoring just five. The home side have the momentum and goal-scoring form so we’re backing them to take the three points.

 

Kevin Volland Wissam Ben Yedder Monaco Montpellier Ligue 1 January 15, 2021

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8.00pm: Alaves v Real Madrid – Both Teams to Score

Alaves are in a spot of bother here, dangerously looming above the relegation zone and they’re likely to fall into it with a loss here. Real could do with the three points as well though, as they’ve played a game more than league leaders Atletico Madrid and are now seven points behind their old foes.

Saturday, 8.00pm: Alaves v Real Madrid
LaLigaTV

The home side are trying to make a go of it though, and they’ve now scored six over their last five home matches and have scored in five out of Real’s six most recent visits there as well. Real’s away form has taken a bit of a dip of late; they’ve been drawing where they really should have been winning and while they should get the three points here there’s better value in backing Both Teams to Score.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

European football bet summary – Saturday, January 23

2.30pm: Mainz v RB Leipzig – Leipzig to Win to Nil
3.00pm: Rangers v Ross County – Rangers to Win to Nil
5.00pm: AC Milan v Atalanta – Milan to Score Over 1.5 Goals
8.00pm: Monaco v Marseille – Monaco to Win
8.00pm: Alaves v Real Madrid – Both Teams to Score

All five of these picks in an acca will give you odds of 26/1 with Paddy Power

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