Football tips: Our trader’s top Tuesday selections with Werner 7/2 to worry Wolves

We've a bumper midweek round of games and our top trader has waded on tonight's action.

Frank Lampard Chelsea Willy Boly Raul Jimenez Wolves Sergio Aguero Aymeric Laporte Manchester City


*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

Paddy Power football trader Jason Murphy has picked out his best bets from two terrific Premier League clashes on Tuesday night.

Wolves host Chelsea in the first match of the game week before Manchester City welcome West Brom to the Etihad, and our man has selected four value plays to make your day.

Check out Jason’s chat with PPTV’s Carl Monaghan in the videos below.

6pm: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea

Chelsea to Win

Prior to their defeat against Everton last weekend, Chelsea were unbeaten in nine league games – winning five and drawing four. They had kept a clean sheet in four of their last six games in that run as well, so they were cruising but hit a roadblock on Saturday night. I would still be sweet on them to win this game, but the price would have to be right.

The market is really against Wolves – I like them more than the market shows – but Chelsea at 8/11 is a fair bet. Wolves have lost four of their five Premier League games without Raul Jimenez. That tells you two things. First of all, he’s always present and then when he’s not there the rate of goals Wolves score drops from 1.3 per game to 0.4. They’re scoring less than half a goal a game when he’s not in the side.

I struggle to see Wolves scoring against a Chelsea team that did a real number on them last season. Beat them 5-2 at Molineux then 2-0 at home. It’s the same managers with similar teams so Chelsea are worth being odds-on and I would be happy to back them.

Timo Werner to Score First

I’m going to side with Timo Werner again. He breaks your heart – he’s blown hot and cold since he started, and hasn’t scored in his last seven games, but in the seven games prior to that he had seven goals. He is on penalties, which is a massive angle, and he always gets chances. We just need him to sharpen up and take them, but looking at what’s available across both teams if you’re looking for a goalscorer bet or shots on target bet, Werner is the man to look to.

8pm: Manchester City v West Bromwich Albion

Manchester City to Win to Nil

Pep Guardiola wanted a win against Manchester United in midweek but he was pragmatic in his approach. We’ve often been critical of Manchester City being too open and exposed, getting caught too easily on the counter, but the way they lined up with Fernandinho and Rodri behind Kevin De Bruyne negated that. They were completely in control of the game, but just didn’t take the couple of chances that they created in order to get the win.

For this game, Manchester City and well odds-on so you’re trying to find an angle to side with them. You can try and get Man City on the handicap, but I don’t think that is the play for this game. What I would go for is Man City to Win to Nil. They’ve kept six clean sheets and haven’t conceded a goal in over five hours.

West Brom are missing Matheus Pereira after he picked up a harsh red card against Crystal Palace. He’s the real creative outlet. I fancy Man City to keep a clean sheet and win this game, but not necessarily shoot the lights out. They have 17 goals after 11 games. If you look at the same stage last season, that’s exactly half the number of goals they scored then.

Man City to get the three points here, bag a clean sheet and move on to the weekend.

Phil Foden to Score First

Raheem Sterling looked in the mood against United and I really like him. He’s top, top quality but, similar to Timo Werner at Chelsea, maybe he isn’t taking the chances he should. I think there may be a bit of rotation and if Phil Foden starts – at the price he’s at – it’s a great bet.

He started against Olympiakos in the Champions League and scored in that game. He came on against West Ham, when losing at half-time, and scored in that game. He scored two for England against Iceland and when you imagine the defence is going to sit like West Brom will, he can give-and-go and is the best value out of the Man City players.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

Premier League bet summary – Tuesday, December 15

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea [6.00pm]
Chelsea to Win
Timo Werner to Score First

Manchester City v West Bromwich Albion [8.00pm]
Manchester City to Win to Nil
Phil Foden to Score First

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