Football Tips: Our trader's best bet for Leicester v Brighton on Sunday

7.15pm: Leicester v Brighton

It’s a tough one to predict. Leicester are quite an inviting price at home to beat Brighton, I think. If you look at where the two teams are in the table you’d expect Leicester to be a bit shorter in the betting but bookies rate Brighton very highly.

If you look at the stats and the performances, they created more than enough chances to beat Southampton on Monday night but ended up losing the game. The week before they created a lot of chances as well, more than Liverpool, and it took a last-minute penalty to get a point there.

That’s been the story of Brighton under Graham Potter, really. They have a really good style of play and good performances but they just haven’t been getting the results. Leicester will be tough to beat, they have seven wins in their last 11 but they have been inconsistent, especially at home.

Sunday 7.15pm: Leicester v Brighton
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They’ve already lost at home this season to Fulham, Aston Villa and West Ham by an aggregate score of six goals to one. I’m wondering if the Europa League is having an adverse effect on their form this season.

They do have a large squad where they can rotate their personnel but when you’re playing on a Thursday night and at the weekend you just have less time to prepare. I think Brighton can definitely capitalise on that. Leicester have been over-reliant on Jamie Vardy this season; he’s scored nearly half of their league goals.

I don’t think the likes of James Maddison and Harvey Barnes have been contributing enough in goalscoring terms. Brighton are definitely worth a go, I think they’re a nice price, and with Leicester’s inconsistency at home they could get found out again so Brighton to win this one.