England v Denmark
19:45 Sky Sports Main Event
England have enjoyed a nigh-on perfect international break so far, emphatically beating Wales 3-0 in a friendly before edging out a narrow win against Belgium, the number one side in the FIFA World Rankings. They have a chance to tighten their grip on top spot in Group A2 if they can get past the challenge of Denmark at Wembley, and they should do so quite comfortably.
The Danes are an extremely solid side, but they are a level below most nations in the top tier of the Nations League. They will enter Wednesday’s game full of confidence following a convincing win in Iceland, but England should be absolutely brimming with confidence after their battling win against Belgium.
Harry Kane has barely featured for England over the international break, so he may bolster the starting XI on Wednesday, while Jadon Sancho may get a starting berth if Gareth Southgate chooses to name a strong side. In reality, a full-strength Three Lions side should have far too much for Denmark and they should avoid another dull draw like the one in Copenhagen in September so England (-1) on the handicap looks good value.
While England have not exactly been rip-roaring since the start of the Nations League, they have shown signs of life over this current international break. Granted, their two goals against Belgium came via a deflection and a penalty, but they created plenty against a Wales side that is not too far off this Danish team.
Their recent goalscoring record at home has also been staggering. The Three Lions have scored 26 goals in their last six home matches, scoring 21 times during their Euro 2020 qualifying campaign. They have found the back of the net on five occasions during this international break and are capable of adding plenty more with the likes of Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Danny Ings and Harry Kane in red-hot form.
At the other end, England are less convincing. They were torn to shreds by Belgium inside the opening half an hour and a back three of Eric Dier, Kyle Walker and Harry Maguire does not inspire confidence, especially if they are playing in front of Jordan Pickford. There should be plenty of goals on Wednesday and Over 2.5 Goals makes sense here.
Harry Kane has featured sporadically for England during the international break and should feature more prominently on Wednesday. He is by far the most prolific striker in the squad and will be keen to avoid a goalless international break from his perspective.
Kane hasn’t scored in his three England appearance this year and will be chomping at the bit to rectify that as quickly as possible as he relentlessly continues to chase down Wayne Rooney’s goalscoring record. The Spurs striker has been in blistering form for his club this season and boasts a record of 0.66 goals per game at international level. It would be statistically uncommon, therefore, if he was to go another game without a goal.
Tips for England v Denmark on Wednesday at 19:45