European football is beginning to pick up again, France’s Ligue 1 started back last weekend, the Russian Premier League is heading into game week six and we’ve got a couple of games from Norway and Belgium to get stuck into as well.
Metz were pretty dire last season, winning just eight of their 28 matches, drawing and losing 10. Monaco weren’t that much better, winning 11, drawing seven and losing 10, they did score 44 goals though, Metz could only manage 27. Monaco’s squad is bursting with talent and were a real let-down last season, but with former Bayern Munich and RB Salzburg boss Niko Kovac taking over during the summer, they’ll be hopeful of getting back to the top of the table this season.
The majority of Metz’s 27 goals came at home last season, they averaged 1.29 and conceded 1.21. Monaco could only manage 1.07 on their travels, conceding 1.57. They showed some glimpses of what Kovac wants to achieve with them in their last match though, a 2-2 home draw with Dijon. They fell to an early 0-2 deficit but clawed their way back into the game and could have won it on another day. Monaco have won at Metz in four out of five previous visits and while the home side are good enough for a goal we think Monaco should come out on top here.
Lokomotiv had started the season well, winning their first two matches but since then have drawn one and lost two. Zenit have won four of their five matches, losing midweek to Dinamo Moscow.
The home side have the better record than Zenit on their own turf. They’ve won three of the last five, drawing one and losing one and none of those matches saw more than two goals. The home side have scored six over their five most recent at home while Zenit have scored seven over their five most recent away matches. These don’t tend to be high scoring matches but both teams are good for at least a goal each we reckon, so we’re going with Both Teams to Score.
Viking find themselves just two points above the relegation zone around the midpoint of the Norwegian Eliteserien season. Molde are second but are already seven points behind leaders Bodo/Glimt. The home side haven’t been great at home, winning two, drawing one and losing two of their last five. Molde haven’t been good on the road either, they’ve lost their last three in a row on their travels.
Molde though have won here on three of their last five league visits to Viking with the hosts winning the other two. Three of them saw Over 2.5 and BTTS landing. Viking are averaging a whopping 1.86 goals per home game this season while Molde are scoring 2.38 on their travels with those scoring records we’re liking the look of Over 3.5 goals.
Gent are strong favourites to win here but are, so far, winless in Belgium’s Jupiler League. The home side have shipped five goals over their three matches and scored just two. Mechelen have won one, drawn one and lost one, scoring five and conceding five. Why are Gent such strong favourites? Well, they have beaten their opponents on Sunday in three out of five previous league meetings at the Ghelamco Arena, the other two were draws.
Gent will be confident of getting their first win of the season here and have scored 13 times past Mechelen over those five previous matches, however momentum is with the away side and they’ve got their scoring boots firmly on, we think we’re looking at Both Teams to Score here.
Brest’s home record was pretty good when the season was abruptly ended, they’d enjoyed a run of six undefeated matches before losing to Angers in what was to be their final home match of the season. Marseille too finished the season strongly and their away form was outstanding, of their final eight matches on the road they won six and drew two.
They’re favourites to win here but over the five most recent matches at Brest’s Stade Francis-Le Ble they’ve only won one. Brest won two and two finished as draws. Brest lost their opening match of the season 4-0 away to Nimes while this will be Marseille’s opening match.
Both sides had decent scoring record last season with the home side averaging 1.50 goals and conceding 0.79. Marseille on their travels were averaging 1.43 and conceding 1.07 so we should see some goals here and with three out of five previous meetings here finishing with Both Teams To Score, landing we’re backing that again.
All five of these picks in a five-fold Acca will give you odds of around 15/1 with Paddy Power.
Tips for Sunday’s European football
14:00 Metz vs Monaco: Monaco to Win
14:00 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit: Both Teams to Score
19:30 Viking vs Molde: Over 3.5 goals
19.45: Gent vs KV Mechelen: Both Teams to Score
20:00 Brest vs Marseille: Both Teams to Score
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