The New Saints face a stern test coming up against Slovakian runners up Zilina and the Welsh side haven’t played a competitive match since March 6. Slovakia’s league has paused for the pandemic, finished, and started a new season in all that time, so it’s easy to see why the market is favouring the away side here.
We have to mention though that TNS are decent at home and were averaging 1.77 goals per game so far this season at home, conceding 1.0. Meanwhile, Zilina were scoring 1.15 and conceding 0.92 goals on the road last season and 2.50 and 1.50 this season.
With The New Saints not playing anything since March and Zilina’s good goal-scoring record, we have to go with the away side.
Aberdeen come into this clash in better form than their Faroese opponents. Of their five most recent matches The Dons have won three, lost one and drawn one. Whereas Runavik have won two and lost three.
The gulf in class should really be evident here between the two different leagues and with Aberdeen’s odds being so low the market obviously thinks so too.
The (-2) Handicap looks like the market where we can get the best odds and the difference between Over 2.5 goals and Over 3.5 goals shows us that the markets are expecting three goals and no more, so we can exploit that and back Aberdeen -2 at decent odds.
Motherwell, like Aberdeen above, come into this match against their Northern Irish counterparts as huge home favourites as well. They’ve had a woeful start to the Premiership though and have yet to win, they’ve lost three and drawn two of their five matches.
Glentoran have only had three matches since March, they’ve won one, drawing the two others – but winning either in extra time or on penalties.
Again, the difference in quality between the leagues will be glaring here, but Glentoran can hope to at least cause some trouble against a team who are in terrible form.
Both Teams to Score was calling to us here because the home side are in such bad form, but looking at Glentoran’s away form in the competition – they’ve only scored two goals in their nine most recent away Europa League matches. We’re going with Motherwell to Win to Nil.
Both teams come into this match in decent form, Rovers are unbeaten in the league with two draws and two wins since the restart. Ilves though have far more matches under their belt; 13 matches in all competitions with five wins, four draws and four losses. Over their five most recent though, they’ve won two, drawn two and lost one.
Rovers have been scoring for fun this season, averaging 3.0 goal per home match, conceding 0.75. Ilves aren’t doing nearly as well this season compared to last, they are averaging 1.0 goals per away game, their defence is leaking 2.20.
The market is favouring the home side here and when comparing those scoring records, we have to side with them.
- An accumulator on these four best bets pays at approximately 14/1 with Paddy Power. Odds are subject to change.
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