The writing had been on the wall for Brescia for a while now, they’ve been pretty bad all season and since the return to play things didn’t improve. They’ve won just one of their last five league matches, losing the four others. Indeed over their 10 most recent league matches they only collected seven points from a possible 30.
Sampdoria had been decent since the return but over the last three matches they’ve been on the beach, losing three in a row and apart from the 0-2 loss away to Juventus they’ve been very lacklustre. Both teams are scoring though at least and BTTS has landed in 10 out of 18 home Brescia matches and in 11 out of 18 away Sampdoria matches. We should see it occurring again with records like that.
Milan are finishing the season on a high and on a great run. They’ve not lost a single match since the restart, winning eight and drawing three and their hard work has been rewarded with a place in next season’s Europa League.
Cagliari haven’t been great of late even though they pulled off a shock result in their last match beating newly-crowned champions Juventus 2-0 at home. These tend to be high-scoring affairs, four out of the last five meetings at the San Siro have seen Over 2.5 goals and with Milan in such great goal scoring form of late, particularly at home, we’re backing them to win and Over 2.5 goals here.
In what should be the tie of the day, Atalanta can wrestle a second-placed finish from Inter. Both teams are in robust form of late, Atalanta have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, Inter have the same record. Atalanta have won all six of their home matches since the restart, Inter have won three and drawn three on their travels.
BTTS has landed in four out of five previous meetings at the Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia, Over 2.5 has occurred in three. We have to go for the home side here, that home record is so impressive and they’ll be motivated to try and cap off a great season with their highest finish ever in Italy’s top division.
Following the 2-0 loss to Cagliari away in the last round Juventus are going to need to buck up here. It’s not a good look for the champions to lose their two final matches of the season. They finished last season similarly though it must be said, losing two and drawing one of their three final away matches. At home though the Old Lady is a different beast. They’ve not lost a home league match since Napoli beat them 0-1 in April 2018, a run of 39 matches without defeat. Extending that run to 40 will be on their minds here.
Roma are in great form though, they’ve now gone seven matches without defeat, winning six and drawing one. However, Roma haven’t beaten Juventus in any of their last 10 visits to Turin across all competitions. Looking at Serie A matches only, Juventus have won eight, Roma have won one and one has ended as a draw.
Huge odds here on the Juventus win, no doubt because Sarri won’t be playing a full-strength side as he has the second leg of the Champions League match against Lyon coming up next week. Roma have a good chance to get one over Juventus here but the Old Lady should still have enough here to take the three points.
Unfortunately, Napoli’s season has fizzled out after what looked like it was going to be a battle for the final Europa League place. They can still play in the Champions League next season, they’ll just have the small task of winning the competition, taking on Barcelona in the second leg of their Last 16 match next weekend.
Lazio could actually finish second here, if the Atalanta vs Inter match ends in a draw Lazio, should they win, can take second place. Unlikely but certainly possible. Napoli’s home record is impressive, they’ve won four and drawn one of their last five. Lazio’s away record isn’t so good with two wins, one draw and two losses. Napoli have won four out of the last five meetings between the pair at the Stadio San Paolo. Short odds here but we’re surely looking at BTTS here.
All five of these picks into an Acca will give you odds of around 20/1.
Serie A football tips summary
- Brescia vs Sampdoria: Both teams to score
- AC Milan vs Cagliari: Milan to win and over 2.5 goals
- Atalanta vs Inter: Atalanta to win
- Juventus vs Roma: Juventus to win
- Napoli vs Lazio: Both teams to score
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