For Sunday’s European football action we’re looking at the title races in Turkey, Spain and Portugal as well as a top-of-the-table Serie A clash between two titans of Italian football. Let’s see where we’ve found some value.
The home side are yet to win a match since the return of football in Turkey while the away side have won one and drawn two of their three league matches. Galatasaray currently occupy the final Europa League place but Besiktas are just two points behind. Trabzonspor are, of course, just two points behind league leaders Basaksehir and if things go their way they could top the league with a win here.
Galatasaray are impressive at home, winning nine, drawing five and losing just one of their league matches. Trabzonspor are even better on the road though, winning seven, drawing six and losing just the one.
The home side have won three out of five previous meetings at the Turk Telekom Stadyumu, the away side have won two. Over 2.5 goals has landed in four of those matches, BTTS in three. With so much to play for for both teams we think we’re in for plenty of goals so we’re backing Over 2.5 goals.
Napoli’s home record isn’t great this season with six wins, two draws and six losses. Since Gennaro Gattuso took the reins they’ve had seven home Serie A matches, winning three and losing four. Of their last nine matches they’ve lost only one, away to Atalanta midweek. Roma are good on the road, winning seven, drawing three and losing four.
Napoli have won two and lost one of their league matches since Serie A returned, scoring five goals. Roma have won one and lost two, scoring just two goals. Over the past three seasons these have been great matches with Roma winning two and one ending in a draw.
BTTS landed in all three and Over 3.5 goals occurred in two of them. A win for Napoli would see them draw level with Roma on points in the table but they’d still be behind on goal difference.
Napoli have played two more games than Roma as well, drawing 1-1 with Inter in the Coppa Italia semi final and beating Juventus in the final on penalties. Roma will put up a good fight but we can just see Napoli having the edge on them here so we’re backing Napoli to Win.
When Barcelona come to town Villarreal don’t roll over. Barca have only beaten them once in their last four visits, all of the other three have ended level. BTTS has landed in three of those matches and Over 2.5 and 3.5 goals occurred in two.
Barcelona are chasing Real Madrid at the top of the league so will have to go all out here. Villarreal though are chasing the final Champions League place and a win will put them level on points with Sevilla above them.
We should see plenty of goals here again, Villarreal are averaging 1.94 goals per home game while Barcelona are averaging 1.50 on the road and with so much to play for we’re backing Over 3.5 goals.
Porto are marching towards their 29th league title. They’ve lost just three times this season, winning 12 of their 14 home matches, drawing and losing one. Belenenses aren’t great on their league travels, winning four, drawing three and losing seven and they’ve not beaten Porto away from home since 2001.
Porto haven’t been scoring many goals since the return to action, however they’ve put at least two goals past Belenenses in six of the last seven meetings between the pair at the Estadio do Dragao so we’re adding Porto to Win and Over 1.5 goals to give our Acca a bit of extra juice here.
All four of these picks into a four-fold Acca will give you odds of over 9/1 with Paddy Power.
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