Football tips: 3 best bets for Norwich v Southampton on Friday night

A relegation six-pointer?

Comments

It’s been a long break for Norwich City players. One hundred and nine days to think about those six points that separate them from safety. If you don’t give it much thought, it doesn’t seem like a lot. Only two wins eh?

But 109 days is a lot of time. Maybe in that time Norwich will have realised that their -27 goal difference is almost as bad as a 0.5 point handicap. They’ll have thought about how they still have to go to Chelsea, Man City and Arsenal. And some of them will even have had time to visit paddypower.com, look at the relegation odds and seen how f*cked we think they are (1/16 to go down).

Delia Smith

It’s an awful lot of pressure to carry, especially with everything else going on in the world. The lads have probably been dying to get into a real game and let off some steam.

These pressures do get to players, we’ve seen happen in the Bundesliga already. After returning to football the Bundesliga saw the average number of fouls per game rise by 15%. Whilst the average number of cards per game rose by 14%.

But Norwich are very good at drawing a foul too. Despite being at the bottom of the table since Boxing day, they are the sixth most fouled team in the Prem. Whilst Southampton top the table for the most fouls committed in the Premier League.

So when you see that Norwich City games have had an average of 36.4 booking points this season in the Prem, while Southampton games have averages 36.9, over 30 booking points has to be backed.

There looks to be value in the corner markets too, with Norwich having averaged 4.6 corners this season and Southampton having averaged 5.51, you can back neither team to reach 7 corners in the Corner Race Market.

My last tip is for Norwich’s main man Teemu Pukki. Whilst he hasn’t been able to keep up the finishing that saw him top the goalscoring charts at the start of the season, he’s still been a menace in front of goal, and is 5th in the Prem for shots on target this season. You can back him at the price below to get two or more shots on target.

Picks Summary

  • Teemu Pukki – 2 or more shots on target
  • Over 30 Booking Points in the match
  • Each team to have 6 corners or less 9/1
Norwich 9/4, Draw 12/5, Southampton 6/5