Tuesday night sees the leaders of the German, Spanish and Portuguese leagues all in action.
No doubt they’ll be going all-out to get the three points as they aim to bring home more league titles and by a strange coincidence are all facing teams in their respective relegation zones.
Will we see any upsets, and where can we find value in the markets?
Werder pulled off a massive 1-5 win away to Paderborn over the weekend, but it might just be too little too late to save themselves from relegation. They’re just three points from safety, but will be taking on a Bayern side who haven’t lost away to Werder since 2006 – a run of 16 matches, with the German giants winning 15 and drawing just one.
A win here will assure another league title for the Bavarians as Dortmund in second place can only score nine more points. Bayern are seven ahead going into this match, so the win will see them win their 30th Bundesliga title.
Werder’s home form has been terrible and they can’t really complain should they get relegated this season. In their four home matches since the restart they’ve scored just one goal, while Bayern have scored seven in their three away matches.
Munich have kept two clean sheets on the road since the restart and with Werder’s home scoring record being so bad, there’s good value in backing Bayern to Win to Nil here.
Barcelona restarted their La Liga campaign with an impressive 0-4 win away to Mallorca and can put more daylight between themselves and Real Madrid with another win.
Leganes on the other hand, lost their match at the weekend to Real Valldolid and will travel to Barcelona knowing that the three points they find themselves away from safety could turn into six points should Celta Vigo beat Real Valladolid on Wednesday.
Barcelona have beaten Leganes in all four of their previous meetings at the Nou Camp, winning three by two goals or more, which makes the Barcelona (-1) Handicap look tempting. Lionel Messi has been ridiculous great against Leganes to. He’s faced them eight times in his career, scoring 10 goals in the process.
All of those previous four meetings have seen Over 2.5 goals and it’s hard to see it not occurring again, so that’s why we’re backing Barcelona to Win and Over 2.5 Goals.
Aves have started back their Liga Primeira campaign just where they left off – losing matches. They’ve now gone eight league matches without a win, losing seven of them. Porto have taken three points from a possible six since the restart, and find themselves two points ahead of Benfica at the top of the table.
Aves have never beaten Porto in the league, they’ve played 11 times, losing 10 and drawing one, scoring just three goals over those 11 matches. Porto are massive favourites here, so we already know how the market sees this one going.
Porto have scored 24 goals over those 11 matches, however, only seven have come in five matches on the road.
Porto should win here as the odds suggest, but we’re going to go a little against the crowd here to back Porto to Score Under 2.5 goals.
* Prices on our snazzy new bet widget are bang up to date.
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