Football Tips: AC Milan are value to upset Juventus in Coppa Italia

Football returns to Italy with the second leg of the Coppa Italia semi-finals on Friday and Saturday nights. First up, it's Milan v Juve...

Paddy Power’s top football trader Jason Murphy gives his best bets ahead of Friday’s Coppa Italia second leg between Juventus and AC Milan. (Fri, 8pm)

This is a massive game for Italian football to return with from the enforced break.

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It’s two big names anyway, though, unfortunately, AC Milan are not the force they once were, but this would be a great time to put one over on Juventus.

If it’s still going, there are probably odds on it at PaddyPower.com

Milan fans will tell you that they should be 2-0 up from the first leg. They had a man sent off with 20 minutes to go and then Juve got a late penalty after a Ronaldo overhead kick attempt hit a Milan defenders hand.

It was the sort of penalty kick that only Juventus would probably get and meant the game finished 1-1.

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Juve are clear favourites here, but what I do think is in Milan’s favour is Maurizio Sarri’s pattern of play. It’s very specific and takes a while for players to, firstly, adjust to it and secondly, execute it.

So maybe with both these sides coming into this off a break a stop-start type of game is highly likely.

So with Juventus being a small bit rusty after lockdown, there may be value here in backing AC Milan to qualify or AC Milan to win on penalties – it’s worth knowing that if this game finishes 1-1 after 90 mins it will go straight to pens, there will be no extra-time.

But I think with it being the first game back after lockdown, Milan to qualify at around 14/5 is well worth a look.

Saturday night sees the second semi-final between Inter Milan and Napoli. Napoli lead Inter 1-0 on aggregate after the first leg. The final is actually next Wednesday, so it’s a quick turnaround.

Another tip I am going to put up is Inter Milan to win the Coppa Italia outright at around 9/2. That’s a big enough price for me.

Inter to qualify is well worth a look at the price.

Bets Summary:

AC Milan to Qualify

Inter to Qualify

Inter to Win the Coppa Italia

If it’s still going, there are probably odds on it at PaddyPower.com