Sat 2.30pm: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen – Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/13
BTTS has landed in four of ‘Gladbach’s five previous Bundesliga matches and five in five previous away matches for Leverkusen. But in the most recent five meetings between the sides at Borussia Park it has only occurred in three out of five league meetings (two out of five if we include cup matches).
The home side are averaging 2.31 goals and conceding 1.23 per match. They’ve scored in all but one home league match this season. Leverkusen have a good away record too, with 1.85 goals per match and 1.15 goals conceded.
Over 2.5 Goals has landed in three of five previous home ‘Gladbach matches, in four out of five away Leverkusen matches and in four out of five league meetings between the pair, so let’s add Overs into the mix too.
Wolfsburg now find themselves on a run of seven games without defeat. Dortmund, of course, annihilated Schalke 4-0 last weekend and have won five out of five previous Bundesliga matches.
Wolfsburg’s home scoring record isn’t the best, averaging just 1.23 goals per match (the league average is 1.72) and are conceding 1.0. Dortmund, on the other hand, are scoring 2.08 per match and conceding 1.77.
Tempting to add the Dortmund win here, but they’ve lost to both Hoffenheim and Leverkusen on the road of late, they’ve got plenty of goals in this team but they seem to love making life tough for themselves so we’ll leave it at BTTS at 2/1.
Freiburg’s home record is pretty bad over their last five, with two wins and three defeats. Werder’s is worse with three losses, one draw and one win. Freiburg’s scoring record is muck too, just 1.33 goals for and 1.17 goals against. Werder’s away record is 1.46 and 2.23.
Freiburg’s clean sheet record of 33% is fairly good though and they’re only letting in 1.17 goals per game (the league average is 1.52), so we’re tempted by BTTS: No here at 5/4.
BTTS has landed in just two of five previous home Freiburg matches and in two of four previous meetings between the sides here. It’s going to be close but the ‘No’ odds are the value choice here as they are a little bit higher than you’d normally expect.
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Paderborn have a very good scoring record; scoring at least one in seven out of seven previous home league matches. Hoffenheim too have scored at least one in nine out of ten previous away league matches.
Both teams restarted the season without scoring though and while that is a worry you’d really expect both teams to be gunning to set that right this weekend.
We all know how good Bayern are, particularly when playing at home. They’re averaging 2.92 goals per league game and conceding just 0.85. Frankfurt are scoring just 0.92 goals on the road per game, while a conceding a whopping 2.08.
Bayern have kept three out of five clean sheets in previous home matches and three in three previous home and away matches. They’ve also kept Frankfurt scoreless in two out of five previous encounters at the Allianz. We’re going with a No here.
All five of these picks into an Acca will give you odds of over 29/1.
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* All odds correct at time of posting and are subject to change.