Football Betting Tips: Grabban’s a bet to net for Forest on Friday night

Another three points needed for the Forst promotion push

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Nottingham Forest to win @ 5/4

Forest are a unique team in the sense that they perform far better when they don’t dominate the ball.

All but one of their wins in the league this season have come when they have had less possession than their opponents and their average possession during those wins was less than 40%.

It is when they dominate the ball that Forest struggle.

HUDDERSFIELD, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 21: Sabri Lamouchi, manager of Nottingham Forest looks on ahead of the Sky Bet Championship match between Huddersfield Town and Nottingham Forest at John Smith’s Stadium on December 21, 2019 in Huddersfield, England. (Photo by George Wood/Getty Images)

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Sabri Lamouchi’s men have collected just six points in games where they have had more possession and that could be a problem on Friday night.

Playing at home to a Millwall side with only a slight chance of making the playoffs, Forest will be expected to play on the front foot.

With just ten games to go, a playoff spot is firmly in their hands and they absolutely have to seize winnable home games like this if they are to avoid any slip ups.

Millwall, on the other hand, have won just one of their last eight league games and their season is in danger of falling apart.

There can be no excuses for the two-time European champions.

NOTTINGHAM, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 09: Lewis Grabban of Nottingham Forest celebrates with Joe Lolley after scoring the opening goal during the Sky Bet Championship match between Nottingham Forest and Derby County at City Ground on November 09, 2019 in Nottingham, England. (Photo by Getty Images/Getty Images)

Lewis Grabban to score anytime @ 8/5

Grabban ended a worrying run in front of goal when he netted a late equaliser against Middlesbrough on Monday night.

Forest’s leading scorer had failed to score in each of his last seven games and missed some extremely scorable chances, namely seeing a penalty saved against Birmingham, missing an open goal to kill off the game against Leeds, and planting a free header wide against West Brom.

But, while his goals might have dried up, his form did not.

Grabban was excellent in general play and has provided relief for Forest when they are under pressure. The return of his goalscoring touch was crucial, though, and it boosts Forest’s playoff hopes as the league enters its final strait.

Grabban will look to get his name on the scoresheet on Friday. Especially considering he netted twice against Millwall in a 2-2 draw at the Den earlier in the season.

SHEFFIELD, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 01: Gary Rowett manager of Millwall looks on during the Sky Bet Championship match between Sheffield Wednesday and Millwall at Hillsborough Stadium on February 01, 2020 in Sheffield, England. (Photo by Nathan Stirk/Getty Images)

 

Draw half time/ Nottingham Forest full time @ 9/2

While Forest have enjoyed their best season in almost a decade under Lamouchi and stand a real chance of promotion, they are not the most entertaining side in the world.
They suffocate the life out of teams and generally rely on the finishing of Grabban, or the individual brilliance of Joe Lolley to get them over the line.

They’re generally slow starters as well and have only gone in at half time in front in two of their last 11 league games. In four of the remaining nine games, Forest managed to improve their results in the second half.

They are clearly a second-half team and may struggle with so much expectancy on their shoulders.

Millwall, meanwhile, have proved to be a resilient side despite their poor recent record. Their two-goal defeat to promotion-chasing West Brom was the first time they lost by more than a goal since September and they rarely even concede more than a goal in a game.

In fact, that 2-0 defeat to West Brom, coupled with a 3-2 defeat to Leeds at Elland Road, was the only time that they conceded more than one goal in the league this year.

Otherwise, they have been remarkably stubborn and conceded just three goals in their last five games.

With Forest’s struggles with large volumes of possession in mind, this game could be a bit of a slog for Sabri Lamouchi’s charges and it could take a late winner to settle it.

*All odds correct at time of publication

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