This is the weirdest line of the week.
Armenia, who collectively have a lot of very talented footballers, host the Greeks in Yerevan – a nation who simply haven’t done anything and are retroactively given credit just because they won Euro 2004.
I really don’t get it. When’s the last time you saw a decent Greek side in European competition? Don’t give them the stereotype advantage just because you’re more familiar with Athens.
Armenia are two points better off than Greece at this point and even beat them in Athens in the earlier rounds of Group J fixtures.
With Italy qualified, the battle for second place is now a toss-up between Armenia, Bosnia and Finland. Armenia, too, aren’t guaranteed playoffs if they lose, unlike Bosnia.
Come on, there’s only going to be one winner here.
So, the difference in level between Italy and Bosnia is obviously large. But in the context of this group, Bosnia need to win while Italy could conceivably rest players. Given the pace in this Italy team, it would not surprise me to see the Bosnians try to keep the ball and get picked off.
Home advantage in Bosnia is significantly better than home advantage in Dublin or London – so it should be enough, along with a partisan crowd, to see them net at least once. Given that games like this are generally unpredictable, it’s best to avoid the winner market and just go for a side bet.
The 6/10 looks somewhat skinny, but I’d be more confident of both teams to score in this one than in any of the rest of the games on Friday night.
There is nothing surer than a glimpse of false hope for an Irish football fan. For this reason and this reason alone (not really alone – Georgia are way better on the ball than they’re given credit for), I suspect that Georgia will net in this game and give us all that sense of controlled optimism, just before Switzerland go on to score five.
If you’re reading this and nodding your head in tandem with the internal trauma you’re currently trying to block out from Irish qualifying campaigns of the past, I just want to let you know that I am here for you.
- Armenia v Greece – Armenia to Win (12/5)
- Bosnia v Italy – Both Teams to Score (6/10)
- Switzerland v Georgia – Switzerland to Win & BTTS (11/4)
A £/ €1 treble on these three selections returns €20.40 including stake on pp.com. Odds correct at time of posting, subject to change.