Premier League betting tips: Our 5 fancies for Norwich v Watford

It’s going to be a scrap!

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Why do you always give me the s**t games to preview? This match will be pure muck, and everyone knows it.

People would be pissed if this was the Friday night Championship game, never mind the Premier League.

You can’t back cards or pens, because Andre Marriner is reffing. Out of the 19 Premier League referees that have officiated more than 20 games over the past three years, only three give out less cards than him per-game, and only one gives less pens per-game than him.

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You can’t back goals, because Norwich and Watford have only scored 18 in 22 matches between them. But then maybe you can, because in those same 22 matches they’ve conceded a whopping 49 goals!

Watford’s top goalscorers are: Gerard Deulofeu, Andre Gray, Roberto Pereyra, Abdoulaye Doucouré, Will Hughes and Tom Cleverley, all with a single goal to their name.

Deulofeu does look the most threatening, but he’s still only averaging 2.4 shots per game, and the one goal he did score was a pen!

Norwich at least have a proper threat in Pukki. He’s averaging 3.3 shots per game and 2.5 shots in the box per game. He’s scored 54% of Norwich’s goals this season and has taken 33% of their shots in the box.

He’ll also be the man taking pens for them in the unlikely event that they get one. So, if anyone scores on this presumably cold, rainy night in Norwich, it’ll probably be Teamu.

In conclusion, Watford are woeful, this match is woeful, Marriner is the antithesis of Mike “Showtime” Dean and the only bloke who can score goals is Pukki, so here are my bets:

Top Tips from the traders:

Norwich DNB – 17/20
Under 1.5 goals – 19/5
Under 2.5 goals, no penalties, under 3.5 cards – 9/2
Quique Sanchez Flores to be the next manager to get the sack – 16/1
Scorecast: Teemu Pukki to score first and Norwich to win 1-0 – 29/1

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* All odds correct at time of posting.