Hahaha! Sorry, I was just laughing at the fact I’m about to include Leeds in this Wednesday accumulator against my better judgement.
Oh, midweek Championship fixtures, how I love thee!
Seven games to pick from – no excuses here. Let’s secure your Wednesday night session that you’ll ultimately have to explain to your colleagues on Thursday as the reason why you’ve fallen asleep on the keyboard.
Leeds v Brentford: Leeds to win – 8/13
Given the intro, I know this is rich – but I just have to. The price is a fair reflection of their chances, especially at home to a side coming from London on a Wednesday when they’re in tip-top form.
Bielsa has not only sent someone to watch them earlier in the week, but he actually has his own legally-obtained reports on them now that he’s in his second year in the league. Brentford without Neal Maupay are nothing and they’re in for a long evening in Yorkshire.
Then again, some might argue that all evenings are long when you’re in Yorkshire. Not me though – Leeds, Leeds, Leeds!
West Brom v Reading: George Puscas to score anytime – 11/4
This obviously hasn’t caught on yet, but Puscas is the best signing any Championship side has made this year.
Give it ‘til the end of the season and he’ll be going to Wolves for £40m. Only a lapse in concentration stopped him getting his hat-trick against Cardiff and his streak will increase here against a West Brom side who are opting to overplay in dangerous areas.
Not only does he cause massive problems with his own ability, but he’s partnered upfront by Lucas Joao – so marking him out of the game is a non-runner here.
Fulham v Millwall: Fulham to win – 8/13
A cracking south London derby on a Wednesday night? My lord, nothing better. Millwall are flying it thus far, but that’s precisely why we won’t be seeing them pick up a point here.
Granted I work in a football analytics company, so xG means more to me than a bad start to Scrabble. However, their current form isn’t sustainable long-term and a midweek game with a thin enough squad could be the context required for the timing of their downfall.
Fulham are managed by Scott Parker, who will need no practice in firing up a dressing room ahead of a London derby. This one’s probably going to be the game of the night though.
QPR v Swansea: Swansea (+1) – 4/9
This goes into the acca for no other reason than value. I don’t see a way in which QPR beat this Swansea side, who are finally getting through the gears in terms of both their style of play and maturity off the ball.
Defensively, QPR struggle at home and the tight nature of the pitch is their biggest factor as to why they don’t concede more often.
Luckily for the visitors, they’ve enough good in the middle of the park to counter this advantage. Giving them a goal head start at 4/9? Yes, please.
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