It’s still in the balance between these two, and that should make for a cracking second leg at Elland Road – and that’s before you mention the needle between the two clubs after Spygate.
Keep tabs on this Same Game Multi for Leeds and Derby and you could uncover a nifty profit.
Both teams always bloody score in these games because of their intensity. Leeds simply won’t be allowed to sit back and soak up any sort of pressure given the principles of Marcelo Bielsa and the most anxious crowd in world football on their backs if they even try to do anything other than seal the tie early doors.
Leeds are at their best when they operate outside and they had a few really good chances through those channels in the first leg. Given that Bogle and Malone will have to play even higher in the second leg, there should be plenty of joy for them in this.
But Leeds were lucky enough to be going into this game with a clean sheet intact as they’re still shaky in possession, despite the insistence of their boss to play out from the back. On a day where playing it safe should be the order of the day, they’ll hand Derby chances.
You can just kind of sense it, can’t you?
I’m not sure Derby win this semi-final, but I’m certain Leeds won’t make it easy on themselves as is their way. If you pushed me for a scoreline, I’d say 1-1, which means I’m confident Leeds are more likely to lose this tie than they are to win it easily.
An early Derby goal would set this in motion and you can kind of see that coming. Lampard will throw caution to the wind and Leeds aren’t going to combat that by sitting back – they’ll commit men forward.
God love them.
There’s enough firepower in that Derby team to make them regret it and Lampard has played in the biggest games in world football – his team talk won’t be based around ‘feeling their way into the game’. Gung-ho, here – and see Leeds struggle to come to terms with it.
This seemed a bit of a generous price to me. Wilson has scored 15 Championship goals this season from the flank and while some of these have come from dead ball opportunities, that’s even more of an endorsement to the price than anything else.
If Leeds continue to dive in recklessly under pressure, they’ll afford Wilson those opportunities. He’ll have his golden moment and perhaps then Liverpool will see him as a squad player and not send him back out on loan so he can waste his playing days in the second tier of English football.
The stage is yours, son.
- Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 8/11
- Double Chance – Derby and Draw @ 11/10
- Anytime Goalscorer – Harry Wilson @ 4/1
*All odds correct at time of posting