It’s squeaky bum time for Man City and Liverpool fans and it could be for Paddy too if this ‘both teams to score acca’ clicks in Sunday’s 3pm kick offs as the Premier League reaches its climax.
Brighton are safe, City need to win. The hosts have scored in only two of their last eight league games, Manchester City have kept 10 clean sheets while allowing an average of just 0.46 xGA per game. BTTS – No in this one.
Arsenal have a weaker defence than Danny Baker at the minute, and have conceded 10 goals in their last four league games, a huge average of 2.25 xGA per game. Burnley will hit the net, and so will Arsenal.
Palace have shown they can score goals, they just need to do it regularly in front of their own fans now. Thankfully for the Eagles, Bournemouth are vulnerable defensively, so this is the perfect opportunity for them to do so. Bournemouth are good going forward also. Both to score? You betcha. Yes!.
Scott Parker’s relegated side have notched goals in four of their last five games, averaging 1.56 xGF per game. Newcastle have hit the net seven times in four games, including two against Liverpool last time out, There’s a 59 per cent chance of BTTS at the Cottage. We’re all over Yes.
The Foxes have failed to score in only two of their last 12 Premier League games, and were like a knife through butter against Arsenal in their last home game. Chelsea too haven’t had an issue scoring this season, but could suffer the same fate as Arsenal. The cleaners could be busy picking up Sarri’s fag butts after this.
The Reds embarrassed Barcelona in midweek, and given they have only failed to score in two league matches this season, there is more chance of Lionel Messi signing for Real Madrid than Liverpool not scoring here. Wolves are pretty good too and beat Liverpool in the FA Cup.
A 1-1 draw with Huddersfield shows that although Ole is at the wheel, he’s driving a Dacia Sandero, and not a Ferrari. Cardiff will have a go here. United are defensively vulnerable, so there’s no surprises in what is fancied at Old Trafford.
The Austrian Klopp certainly has Southampton playing some good football. It’s not quite Heavy Metal like his illustrious comparison, but more Europop, with moments of extreme excitement and plenty of chances, followed by moments of ‘what am I listening to?’ Chances at both ends are the norm now, and even Huddersfield can bag at St Mary’s.
Somehow the Londoners did the opposite of Spursyness in midweek, as they made the Champions League final. League form has been awful of late, in contrast to Everton’s, but it wouldn’t be a surprise to see these two play out a humdinger of a final game.
Instead of finishing the season like Rocketmen, Watford have had a miserable end to the league, but have an FA Cup final to look forward to next weekend. West Ham have won two in a row, and these are two strong attacking sides with plenty of goals in both teams.
*Prices correct at time of publishing but markets are fluid
Expected Goals (xG) is a metric which estimates the quality of a chance given a number of variables which include things like shot location, shot type, etc. A team may have created several clear-cut chances and failed to score – expected goals looks at the chances and uses this to assess teams and their performances, which is more reliable than raw goals and results.