Burnley have a proud history of beating whoever happens to be Premier League champions in each of their four full seasons in the Premier League. Well, it’s not proud seeing as it’s only been remarked upon for the first time in the build-up to their clash with City at the weekend, but it is filling Liverpool fans with a fresh hope that this could finally be City’s banana skin. It doesn’t appear likely though.
The champions-elect have been flawless since their January defeat to Newcastle, winning 11 games on the bounce and conceding just three goals. They have had most games wrapped up before the hour mark and only against West Ham did it ever feel like they might drop points.
Coming up against Burnley, who they have beaten 5-0 twice this season, City will be wary of a team that held them to a draw at Turf Moor last season.
On top of that, they have that taken 10 points from a possible 12 in their last four games. City, however, have the bit between their teeth and will feel confident that they can move back to the top of the league. Burnley will attempt to make life difficult for City but, as many other teams have already found out, City are just on another level altogether. They should make it 12 wins out of 12 on Sunday and should keep their ninth clean sheet in their last 12 games in the process.
Their impressive dismantling of Napoli aside, Arsenal have been absolutely diabolical in the month of April. A 1-0 defeat to Everton at the start of the month cast their top four aspirations into doubt, while successive defeats to Crystal Palace and Wolves over the last week saw the Gunners miss out on the chance to put real daylight between themselves and the chasing pack, who have been equally poor.
But it is not just the defeats that are a cause for concern, but the manner of them. They were largely fortunate to only lose 1-0 against Everton, who totally dominated the game at Goodison Park, before Palace and Wolves both unlocked their defence with ease.
Even in their win over Watford, Arsenal were poor. A fortuitous goal after 10 minutes, coupled with Troy Deeney’s red card a minute later, should have paved the way for a routine victory at Vicarage Road, but it was anything but. Watford enjoyed large periods of dominance and, but for some unconvincing finishing, they would have taken something out of a game they had absolutely no right to take something from.
They come up against a Leicester side who absolutely need to win if they are to stay in the hunt for an unlikely seventh-placed finish.
Leicester face a dreadful run in against Arsenal, Man City and Chelsea and will need to take three points on Sunday if they are to give themselves a chance. Arsenal’s atrocious away form means that they have a great chance of doing so and, at odds against, they are a very attractive price. We think there will be goals with the Foxes to come out on top.
Double pays 6/1
Man City to beat Burnley to nil @ 4/5
Leicester to beat Arsenal and both teams to score @ 10/3