Montenegro v Romania, Tuesday 19:45
This year, Montenegro have only beaten one team: Lithuania, twice.
Romania, by contrast, have beaten five teams including, again, Lithuania, twice. They’re undefeated in 2018, only failing to beat Serbia and, back in September, Tuesday’s opponent Montenegro, against whom they played out a 0-0 draw in Ploieşti,
If the Romanians win, they can earn promotion in the unlikely event Serbia lose to Lithuania, so will certainly be aiming for all three points in Podgorica. Montenegro, however, have nothing to play for, and are coming off a loss to Serbia in Belgrade.
We reckon Romania can, and will, take this one.
Pick: Romania to win @ 8/5
Portugal v Poland, Tuesday 19:45
Poland haven’t won a game since they beat Japan at the World Cup.
They’ve drawn and lost to Italy, lost to Czech Republic and Portugal, and couldn’t even beat Ireland at home in September. Despite qualifying for the World Cup, they’ve looked a little out of their depth in League A Group 3 and have already been relegated.
Portugal, meanwhile, have been excellent, emerging victorious over the Poles and the Italians before drawing in Milan last Saturday, a result that guaranteed them top spot in the group.
Sure, you could argue they have nothing to play for here, but neither do Poland. So we’re going for Fernando Santos’ side to take the spoils here with a win.
Pick: Portugal to win @ 8/15
Sweden v Russia, Tuesday 19:45
Well now, this is a big one!
Promotion from League B Group 2 is at stake. So we know you won’t want to be missing this game. Or, you know, whatever.
Anyway, Sweden have turned around a bit of a losing streak that began with the loss to England at the World Cup. They’re undefeated in three games, albeit two of those were draws – one, significantly, against Russia in Kaliningrad.
They earned a hard-won victory away to Turkey on Saturday, and if they take full points from this fixture, will move up to League A. Russia, for their part, only need a draw to achieve promotion.
We reckon that’s what the Russians will be playing for, and we reckon that’s what they’ll get. They’ve dominated the group so far, only conceding one goal, and despite a friendly defeat to Germany last Thursday, you’d think they’ve got what it takes to hold off Sweden’s not particularly sharp attack.
Pick: Sweden and Russia to draw @ 9/4
Find the latest Nations League odds over at paddypower.com