Six Nations games are generally lower scoring affairs as opposed to nearly all other rugby competitions (taking Italy out of this). The weather, well organised defenses and the evenness of the teams are the main contributing factors. This usually means there’s value to be had in the winning margin markets.
The French will be very blue – and rightly so – after last weekend’s heartbreaking last minute loss to the boot of grumpy Johnny Sexton. And while they don’t usually travel well, they can still take a lot of heart from their performance against Ireland. Expect Scotland to bounce back though after a shocking performance last week against the Welsh. This will be a close one and the 1-12 points winning margin for Scotland looks good value at 8/5.
Southampton have the second worst clean sheet record in the league, amassing a lowly, miserable total of five so far this season. While we fancy Liverpool to have too much firepower against their B team here, we’ve been eyeing up the cement legs of Oriel Romeu as the bet for the game – stay with us.
Yes there are additional risks to backing a player to be booked, as opposed to betting on the result. For one, there’s nothing that will enrage you more than the prick you pick going off injured or getting subbed early. But you do get to shout ‘f*uckn book him ref’ at least 25 times throughout the match at the slightest breeze of contact – usually to the disgust of those football w*nker purists in the pub sipping on their extra hoppy and extra expensive gourmet beer.
Anyway, in case you don’t know Oriel Romeu, he’s Southampton’s version of Lucas Leiva – a yellow card machine. He’s there to break up play, throw in a tackle, not bad on the ball but contains zero pace. Zero. I mean he makes Mamadou Sakho look like f*ckin road runner. And Liverpool will have quite a load of road runners on the pitch tomorrow, no matter who Klopp picks.
Breaking at speed is just what Liverpool do and there will undoubtedly be a few times when Romeu just gambles on a tackle, unable to keep pace and receives his 8th yellow of the season to top the card league table.
Just be sure to check the line-ups before backing this one. But get on, if he starts.
The card is a pretty underwhelming pay per view being honest but this fight is worth staying up for. And by ‘stay up’, we mean go on the p*iss, come home, make a toasted sambo, leave the George Foreman on and take one bite while nodding off during the prelims, hoping you wake up at 5am just in time for the main event.
Anyway the story of this bout is this (and keep up): it’s for the middleweight interim championship – for Rockhold anyway, Romero missed weight. The title was held by Bisping, then he lost to GSP, who then said ‘here, I’m French Canadian and still the best, but you lads can fight over it, I’m retiring again’. So then the belt went to Rob Whittaker who was next in line. But then he got sick and so now the interim belt is up for grabs with Romero stepping in for Whittaker.
Still with us?
Anyway, Romero is a tank, very tough, very durable and has high level wrestling. But he’s 40-years old and has had one month notice for this fight so the potential for him to gas here is pretty high – particularly with the 5 championship scheduled rounds.
— UFC (@ufc) February 10, 2018
Rockhold previously held the title before refusing to take Bisping seriously and as a result embarrassingly being knocked out by the Englishman in 2016. He’s had one win since and is looking to get his hands on the belt again. He’s a very dangerous striker, particularly with his kicks which allow him to keep a good distance from his opponents and set up his shots nicely.
We envisage ‘Soldier of God’ Romero aiming to be destructive and dangerous in the early rounds and to try and utilise his wrestling. Rockhold doesn’t want to get involved in that and the longer the fight goes on the more it will suit him. He’ll aim to use his significant height advantage and his superior fitness. Rockhold to finish the fight by KO or submission looks very good value here at 3/1.
*All prices correct at time of posting*