*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
This should be a vital match in the battle for a top four finish yet it’s incredibly difficult to make a credible case that either side will be playing Champions League football in 2022/23. Manchester United have more points on the board than Tottenham but have also played more matches and have the harder run-in of the two teams.
The problem is that they didn’t take full advantage of a recent run of kind fixtures, though as Rio Ferdinand and Owen Hargreaves said they would win 10 in a row – when they drew four and lost one of those games – United fans should’ve known they were in trouble.
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Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur: Saturday, March 12: 5.30pm
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Perhaps the fact they were speaking after a 1-1 home draw with the might of Young Boys from Switzerland should have been a clue?
But Tottenham haven’t been any easier to predict either. Having lost at home to Southampton and Wolves, they won at Manchester City before being beaten by Burnley, and they were knocked out of the FA Cup at Middlesbrough recently too. A 5-0 win over Everton is all well and good but can they win here?
*A Bet Builder with these four best bets pays at approximately 21/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
Tottenham Hotspur to win
This is not a match up which has favoured the home side in recent years. The last three meetings have been away wins and the one before that was a draw. You have to go back to December 2019 to find the last home victory, and that was secured with two Marcus Rashford goals, so it’s hard to expect a repeat of that here.
It’s also difficult to make a case for United winning as their home record in big games has been awful in the last two seasons. They went out of both domestic cups at Old Trafford in 2021/22, were very unconvincing in their Champions League matches there and have just one victory from eight home league games against the rest of the Premier League’s big six since the summer of 2020.
The Red Devils memorably collapsed against Spurs last season, losing 6-1, and they conceded nine to Liverpool across their last two visits too. Despite all of that, Paddy has the home side down as favourites here. As three of Tottenham’s last four away victories needed winning goals in the 95th minute-or-later, you can see the logic.
But the underlying data says they are the team more likely to win so they make for an excellent value bet when United have little significant recent form to call upon.
Both teams to score: Yes
The last time these teams met, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s United won 3-0 against Nuno Espirito Santo’s Tottenham. The embarrassment of losing to such a badly coached rabble meant Nuno was immediately given his marching orders, while Ole then suffered defeats to City and Watford and was dismissed too.
While nothing about that last clash might seem that odd, it did feature one team failing to score then that hadn’t occurred in the four meetings prior to that. United are also one of the top sides for Premier League matches in which both teams scored this season. Spurs are at the opposite end of that particular table but it’s hard not to see them getting on the score sheet (especially if we think they’re going to win) so we’ll select ‘both teams to score’ here.
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Over 10.5 Corners
These clubs could be a little more helpful in the corners market. Their matches have averaged 10.7 and 10.6 respectively this season, which doesn’t make a convincing case on either side of the 10.5 line. However, Tottenham conceded 10 corners at both Chelsea and City recently, while hitting double figures despite losing last time they faced United.
With that in mind, and end-to-end attacking looking likely, there should be over 10.5 corners without too much trouble.
Under 3.5 Cards
Manchester United have such an odd disciplinary record. Or do they? Oh right, it’s my job to tell you, sorry. Only two teams have been shown more yellow cards, and only one has seen their opponents receive fewer bookings. That feels like the sort of record which should belong to a really struggling side, though in relative terms, perhaps that is a fair assessment of United this season.
Though Anthony Martial – remember him? – was sent off in this fixture last season, the last five meetings of these teams saw 16 yellow cards and just five for Spurs. Referee Jon Moss is in line with that average of roughly three yellows per game too, so we’ll select under 3.5 cards here.
Tottenham v Man Utd Bet Builder tips
Tottenham Hotspur to win
Both teams to score: Yes
Over 10.5 Corners
Under 3.5 Cards
*A Bet Builder with these four best bets pays at approximately 21/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
SATURDAY FOOTBALL TIPS
- PHIL THOMPSON: My 5/1 Championship treble tips for the 3pm kick-offs
- TRADER TIPS: A 10/1 punt features in these Man Utd v Spurs betting tips
- Phil Thompson’s trio of Man Utd v Tottenham tips
- A 5/1 punt feature in Thommo’s Brentford v Burnley tips
- Our Brighton v Liverpool Bet Builder tips clock in at 23/1
- PHIL THOMPSON: My Brighton v Liverpool tips
- These Saturday football accumalator tips come to 18/1
