*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
We’ve another cracking weekend of football in store and Paddy’s top traders have put their heads together to work out the best bets around. This week it’s the deadly duo of Rob Jones and Emmet O’Keeffe who had scoured the form book and xG charts to work out who is worth a flutter across Saturday and Sunday.
It’s not just the Premier League that gets our guys going – they like it rough and ready in the Championship too. We’re taking a dive into the second tier for Reading v Huddersfield and goal-tastic Fulham’s trip to Stoke in Saturday’s 3pm kick-offs.
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The standout Saturday 3pm kick-off between Manchester United and West Ham also comes under the microscope.
Don’t forget we’ve got a FREE £/€5 Bet Builder offer for any Premier League match on Sunday – and our pair of trading tipsters pick their punts for the tasty London derby between Chelsea and Tottenham at 4.30pm that day.
Fulham to win at Stoke
Traditionally one of the most competitive leagues in the world, this year has proved no different. Marco Silva’s men find themselves five points clear at the summit. A sticky patch in recent months saw them fail to pick up a win in five – drawing four and losing one. It’s safe to say they have bounced back in emphatic fashion. Three wins, 19 scored, four conceded.
Stoke host the Cottagers and know themselves all too well about the struggles of trying to get back to England’s top flight. Since relegation, they’ve failed to register a top-half finish in three seasons. Currently, they find themselves in the hunt for a playoff berth – just three points back with a game in hand but have been far too inconsistent, especially at home.
I fully expect Fulham’s quality and relentless firepower to tell and this looks as solid a banker you’ll find all weekend.
Huddersfield to win at Reading
This looks an ideal opportunity for Huddersfield to climb into the Championship’s top 6 playing against the worst team in the division according to Expected Goal difference.
Reading have lost four of their last five league matches including a 7-0 thrashing by Fulham and they were comfortably beaten by Luton last time out at the Madejski Stadium.
On the other hand, Huddersfield are unbeaten in their last seven and are outperforming pre-season expectations to be on the fringes of playoff contention. They are more than good enough to expose Reading’s defensive vulnerabilities and The Terriers’ current price makes plenty of appeal.
Man Utd v West Ham: Jarrod Bowen First Goal Scorer
There are a few outsiders I like the look of this weekend but it is actually a goalscorer that has really caught my eye. Jarrod Bowen has been in sensational form of late and has six league goals to his name (Ok, maybe I’m still rewatching his miss from last week against Leeds and wondering if I still fancy this bet!).
For goalscorers, I’ll also do a bit of digging into the underlying data – Bowen’s really stands out – in the ‘Non-Penalty Expected Goals’ ranking he sits 4th only behind Liverpool’s Mo Salah, Sadio Mane & Diogo Jota.
I fancy West Ham to score in this one and they should get after Man Utd early with a couple of days extra rest. David De Gea once again saved Man Utd midweek with some first-half heroics. Brentford’s Mathias Jensen missed a glorious chance early on – if that falls to Bowen it’s a goal.
Man Utd v West Ham: Over 4.5 Goals
It’s hard to see this being anything other than a high scoring affair. As Rob mentioned, United were very fortunate to only concede one goal in midweek and of the Premier League’s top 10, only Leicester have conceded more goals than Ralf Rangnick’s side.
As pointed out on these pages last week, West Ham have become one of the most entertaining teams to watch in the Premier League and are more vulnerable defensively with Kurt Zouma and Angelo Ogbonna both on the treatment table. In fact, Over 4.5 goals has clicked in three of West Ham’s last five matches and it’s easy to imagine United nicking a 3-2 victory in unconvincing fashion.
Both Teams To Score
There’s a free fiver Bet Builder this Sunday and I’m keeping it simple here for my leg – Both Teams to Score.
Spurs failed to net over two legs in the recent Carabao Cup semi-final and will be desperate to put things right here. It’s hard not to mention the dramatic end to their midweek win over Leicester and you’d imagine Conte’s men are full of belief after such a memorable victory.
If Tottenham are a side full of momentum and belief, it’s fair to say Chelsea are the complete opposite. Just one win in their last seven league games has seen Tuchel’s men fall right out of the title race. A defence ravaged by injuries and fatigue but still one with enough quality to find the net themselves.
Tottenham to win
While Chelsea did brush Tottenham aside with relative ease over two legs in the Carabao Cup semi-final, all does not appear as should with Thomas Tuchel’s side, especially in front of goal. Chelsea have only scored eight in their last seven and haven’t been unlucky with that goal return according to Expected Goals.
Ben Chilwell and Recce James’ absences in the wing-back positions have been keenly felt and has made Thomas Tuchel’s system ineffective. Tottenham are a flawed side but do have Antonio Conte who is maximising this limited team’s ability with six wins and two draws in their last eight matches.
They are coming off a moral-boosting stoppage-time win at Leicester and look well worth chancing.
FANCY DOUBLING UP?
We’ve got all of our trader picks above priced up below as Paddy Power doubles.
BANKER BET DOUBLE
Huddersfield and Fulham to win pays at around 4/1. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
LONG SHOT DOUBLE
Over 4.5 goals in Man Utd v West Ham and Jarrod Bowen to score first pays at around 45/1. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
FREE £/€5 BET BUILDER PUNT
Tottenham to beat Chelsea and Both Teams to Score pays at around 8/1. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
Saturday football tips
- PREMIER LEAGUE BETTING TIPS: Phil Thompson’s 8 Saturday selections
- BET BUILDER TIPS: Our 26/1 shout for Everton v Villa at 12.30pm
- PREMIER LEAGUE TIPS: Phil Thompson’s 11/1 turbo treble for the 3pms
- BET BUILDER TIPS: Saturday night’s 35/1 shout for Southampton v Man City
- SATURDAY FOOTBALL ACCUMULATOR TIPS: Paddy’s 23/1 evening acca from across Europe
Sunday football tips
- BET BUILDER TIPS: Sunday’s 21/1 punt for Chelsea v Tottenham
- PREMIER LEAGUE BETTING TIPS: Our 9/1 treble for the 2pm kick-offs