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We’re focusing on some top-of-the-table clashes from France, Italy and Spain for our European treble on Sunday night and have found a value-stuffed play that could really finish off the weekend in style. In Spain La Liga leaders Real Madrid host Sevilla. In Italy, league leaders Napoli welcome Lazio to the Diego Maradona Stadium and starting us off Marseille can leap to second with a win over struggling Troyes.
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Marseilles’ league form has been disappointing of late, winning just two of their last five, but a win here would put them right back in the mix of chasing pack behind PSG. The host’s home form in Ligue 1 has seen them winning two, drawing two and losing one over their last five at the Stade Velodrome.
Troyes’ recent form isn’t too bad, even though they’ve been finding life tough going since promotion – indeed they’ve lost half of their 14 Ligue Un matches this season. Of their last five they’ve won two, drawn one and lost two, while on their travels they’ve won two and lost three of their last five.
The hosts have kept three clean sheets over their last five and the visitors have failed to score in both of their most recent league games. With Over 2.5 Goals landing in four of Marseille’s seven home league games and in just three of Troyes’ seven away matches this one is unlikely to see three goals.
Napoli finally lost their first Serie A game of the season in last week’s away trip to Inter. Their record is pretty immense though, with 10 wins from 13 games. Lazio are currently sixth on 21 points with six wins, three draws and four losses. Maurizio Sarri’s side have been letting him down on the road where they’ve won just one of their six games so far this campaign. Their home form is the best in the Serie A though with five victories, one draw and one defeat.
The hosts have had a frustrating few weeks, drawing 1-1 with Verona at home before losing away to Inter last weekend and also going down to Spartak Moscow in the Europa League on Wednesday. Their home league form is great though, winning four of their last five. The Biancocelesti’s away form isn’t good though, with two draws and three losses over their last five.
While the home side are favourites here and should take the three points, we have to look at Lazio’s Ciro Immobile. The Italian striker has four goals over his last six away league games and is on five-in-five in all competitions. Getting a striker in such mighty form screams value and we’re all over it.
Real Madrid have now gone eight matches unbeaten in all competitions, winning all five of their most previous fixtures. Sevilla’s form has seen them winning three of their last five, drawing one and losing one. Madrid have won three of their last five at home in La Liga, drawing the other two, with Over 2.5 goals landing in three of those five.
Sevilla have won two of their last five on their league excursions, drawing two and losing one. However, over their five most recent in all competitions they’ve won three, drawn one and lostone. While the away side’s stingy defence will put a few punters off backing Overs here, it must be mentioned that over their last eight visits to the capital to take on Real, Over 2.5 goals has landed in seven of those eight games.
With the favourites finding their scoring boots again, netting 13 over their last five in all competition – along with Sevilla grabbing 12 over their five most recent league matches – we have to go for Over 2.5 goals here.
* A treble on these three best bets pays at approximately 17/2 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
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