*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
After a jam-packed summer of sport, it’s time for the thing we’ve actually been waiting for. That’s right, the Premier League is back, bigger, badder and better than ever.
The build up to the big kick off is a moment for optimism, hope and a belief that the good times lie ahead… before it all comes crashing down in the opening minutes.
We’re so excited for the Premier League’s return we set Liverpool legend Phil Thompson & our top tipsters Andrew Cunneen and Shane O’Brien the task of coming up with their outright best bets for the upcoming season.
You’ll find all of their top tips below and don’t forget to check out paddypower.com/football for the latest odds and live streams from across the globe.
Premier League Winner Tips
Andrew Cunneen: “The previous season, Liverpool went on a phenomenal run. They had the best centre half in the world, the best front three in football and a lot of midfielders who did the dirty work in between. But, they very much relied on the momentum of the previous campaign to carry them, even though they were talented enough to win games without that boost.
“Given the hype around van Dijk coming into that season, his injury had the exact opposite effect and they were never going to find the enthusiasm in the dying moments without their true leader. The misconception starts here, though. They were still incredible in the final third. Their xG exceeded Man City’s by 0.05. If they’d been struggling to create chances, that would be a different conversation.
“But, their xGA (still third-best in the league – 1.19) is most likely to take a seismic improvement. Not just because they’re getting VVD back, but also introducing Konate. If they can get by without Wijnaldum, they’re the most likely winners in Aguero’s absence for City, as Gundogan will not be repeating last year’s trick.”
Phil Thompson: “I have to go for Manchester City to win the title at this stage. Jack Grealish is a game changer. If they get Harry Kane over the line, I can’t believe how it can be allowed to be done with Financial Fair Play, but that would absolutely nail it for me. City to be champions.”
Premier League Top Four Tips
Andrew Cunneen: “Chelsea will finish in the top four because they have the most progressive manager whose style clearly produced last year, to the point where he won a Champions League, ripped Man City to shreds and whose players will clearly have his buy-in from day one.
“They’ve also got the easiest upturn in player potential. What I mean by that is just how many of their squad was less than average last year versus expectation. Hakim Ziyech has yet to find himself, Timo Werner is too bad to be true and then there’s the exponential growth of Mason Mount and Christian Pulisic.”
“Another year under Marcelo Bielsa doesn’t mean things get stale, it means they get faster. No side in the league could compete with just how ad-hoc they became in certain situations and the fact Leeds go against the grain is a bigger indication that they’re always liable to cause a shock.
“And for many people, the idea that Patrick Bamford was their leading light in front of goal was a knock – but I’d simply turn to you and tell you that the quality of chances created for him were top-four levels. Their 1.75xG per game was the fifth-best clip in the league last year – just 0.02 behind fourth spot and now adding in Junior Firpo down the left should open things up even more as they continue to shock.
“And not to mention, a full season of Raphinha. You might laugh, but I’d definitely say they have a higher ceiling than last year’s West Ham – and at that price, you’re committing to keeping an eye on the most entertaining side in England. Not a bad decision regardless.”
Premier League Relegation Tips
Shane O’Brien: “Crystal Palace have spent eight consecutive seasons in the Premier League in relative comfort but will struggle to produce a similar result this season following a summer of turmoil.
“Death, taxes, and a Norwich relegation the season after their promotion. The quintessential yo-yo club, Norwich have an uncanny ability to end up in the bottom three the season after a promising promotion campaign. The Canaries have been relegated from the Premier League a record five times along with fellow yo-yo club West Brom and have finished in the bottom three in each of their last three seasons at the top level.
“Burnley’s squad remains as solid as ever, but it can only continue achieving decent results for so long. A number of crucial players are now the wrong side of 30, while only Collins, Dwight McNeil and Josh Brownhill boast any sort of youth. Sean Dyche’s side flirted with relegation last season and may just find themselves in the Championship for the first time in six years by the end of this upcoming campaign.”
Phil Thompson: “Dare I say it, Brentford have looked really good and last season they were flying, but they will struggle in the top tier. They’ll enjoy it, they will give a few teams bloody noses, but I don’t think they’ll have enough to stay up this season.
Premier League Top Goalscorer Tips
Shane O’Brien: “Harry Kane may seem like the boring and obvious choice to claim the Golden boot next May, but it is hard to look past him. The Tottenham captain finished with the most goals and most assists in last season’s Premier League – an incredibly impressive achievement given that he found himself under the thumb of Jose Mourinho’s anti-football tactics for a lot of the campaign.
“Kane took on more shots than any other Premier League player last season despite playing in a Spurs outfit that only ranked 12th in terms of shots per game and finished ninth in the end-of-season possession charts.
“Tottenham will hardly be more adventurous under a similarly negative Portuguese manager this season, with Nuno Espirito Santo’s Wolves ranking 10th for shots per game last season and 12th for possession.”
Phil Thompson: “Will he? Won’t he? Could he? Might he? Harry Kane, will he leave Spurs? I don’t think he will, not in this window. I still think Kane will be the Premier League top goal scorer this season.”
Premier League Player of the Year Tips
Phil Thompson: “It could be Jack Grealish. I always wanted Liverpool to try and go for him. Once the £100m figure came out it was game over, but I’m such an admirer. It will be interesting to see him in this Manchester City side because they’ve got such an array of talent, can they fit Grealish in?
“He might find himself sitting out a few games but he excelled in a good Aston Villa side, not a great one, but what he can do at Manchester City will be really interesting.”
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