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Amazingly, we are already at the stage of the European Championships where the groups are down for decision, and there is no doubting that Italy have been among the most impressive sides in the competition to date.
Roberto Mancini’s charges have rattled off back-to-back 3-0 victories over Turkey and Switzerland, and if they beat Wales today, they will extend their current unbeaten run to a whopping 30 matches – equaling the country’s all-time undefeated record in the process.
Sunday 17:00 – Italy v Wales
ITV / RTÉ Two
If Italy have been the most notable team at the Euros, then Wales might just be responsible for the most eye-catching win of the competition to date as they downed Turkey 2-0 in their last outing. It wasn’t just the scoreline that raised eyebrows, it was the nature of that win for Rob Page’s side that caught the eye.
The Dragons created numerous clear-cut chances against a very decent Turkey team on paper and in truth, the margin of victory could have been much wider in Baku. But, how will this fixture in Rome go, you ask? We’ve turned to the number-crunching wizardry of Andy Robson’s cheat sheet to give your bets a steer today.
Manuel Locatelli has been one of the players of the tournament thus far and will be high on confidence after scoring a brace against Switzerland. He’s averaging 0.81 shots on target (as per the cheat sheet) and the Sassuolo midfielder has shown in the opener two games that he is willing to take on shots if given space.
We absolutely love watching Lorenzo Insigne play. His pace and skill have already made several defenders look foolish at Euro 2020. He found plenty of space to cut in from the left against Switzerland and Turkey, so we fancy him to enjoy similar success by peppering the target against this Welsh side.
Although Wales have outperformed expectations yet again, we reckon Italy are just a level above. The Azzurri have now won their last 10 matches in a row and haven’t tasted defeat since 2018. Italy have been the team of the tournament thus far, and we fully expect them to top Group A with nine points.
Cards have been hard to come by this tournament and we can’t see that changing in the final group games, especially in matches one side is through and the other is almost assured of progression. Italy have yet to pick up a card at the tournament. Meanwhile, Wales have only three of them and two-thirds of them came in a 92nd-minute scuffle last time out. You can predict a lack of intensity here, as both teams will have half an eye on the last 16 already.
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WANT TO KNOW MORE?
Check out our complete team-by-team guides for the two teams below:
- Italy Euro 2020 squad guide: Paddy’s predictions, tips, odds and best bet for the tournament
- Wales Euro 2020 squad guide: Paddy’s predictions, tips, odds and best bet for the tournament
READ MORE ON EURO 2020
- Euro 2020 tips: Our delightful 7/2 double for Sunday’s Group A games
- Football tips: Our mega Bet Builder for Italy v Wales on Sunday
- Football tips: Paddy trader’s dishy duo of best bets for Sunday’s Group A double-header
- Football tips: Emmanuel Petit’s 3 punts for Italy v Wales – including a 7/1 shout
- Football tips: Our trader’s punchy picks for Switzerland v Turkey on Sunday