Football Tips: Paddy trader’s dishy duo of best bets for Sunday’s Group A double-header

Paddy football trader Jason Murphy gives you the skinny on Sunday's final Euro 2020 Group A games.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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5pm: Italy v Wales

I’ve definitely been on the Italian Robert Mancini train for a little while now. They were as big as 12/1 to win Euro 2020 outright back in February. The price has tumbled now on the back of them winning their opening two games.

For this match against Wales in particular, I’d be going with Italy to Win to Nil. It’s about even money, there or thereabouts. The reason being, Italy can make changes and it doesn’t affect the quality on the pitch.

Sunday 5pm: Italy v Wales
ITV and ITV Hub

That’s what Mancini has in that squad. Whereas the way Wales manager Robert Page was talking the other day after beating Turkey, it sounds to me like they think four points is going to be enough to get through and I don’t think Gareth Bale or Aaron Ramsey with start the game and if they do they won’t play the full 90 minutes.

So, given that Wales will not be full strength and they’ll probably be giving an opportunity to other players, and given that Italy can rotate and still not see a drop off in their XI, Italy to Win to Nil is the best bet for that game.

5pm: Switzerland v Turkey

In the other game, Switzerland v Turkey, one of those teams need a win to have any chance of going through. If it finishes in a draw they knock each other out so have a look at the Over 3.5 Goals in that game.

Sunday 5pm: Switzerland v Turkey
ITV 4 and ITV Hub

It’s an interesting angle and if you look at the goal differences as well, they both suffered heavy defeats against Italy so they both need to bump up their goal differences as well. Have a look at Over 3.5 in that game and Italy to Win to Nil against Wales.

Jason’s Group A tips

5pm: Italy v Wales – Italy to Win to Nil
5pm: Switzerland v Turkey – Over 3.5 Goals

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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