*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
I know its hard to muster the enthusiasm to back a draw in any game but I think it looks the smart bet here. Three of the last four league matches between these sides have ended in draws and a tight, low-scoring affair looks most likely despite United putting six goals past Roma during the week.
United won’t be at their most energetic after playing a first choice team on Thursday and will likely sit deep and try to play on the counter-attack. It’s an approach that has brought them defensive solidity in big matches but often leads to extremely dull affairs like we saw in the goalless draws when the Red Devils went to Stamford Bridge, The Emirates and Anfield earlier in the season.
If United do sit deep, its hard to have much confidence in Liverpool being able to pick United’s lock. Liverpool’s attack is only a pale imitation of previous seasons and they have been held scoreless by teams like Brighton, Burnley, Everton and Fulham in the last few months.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has no qualms about employing an approach usually used by clubs of a lesser stature than Manchester United and that approach will make it difficult for Liverpool to exploit the lack of pace in the centre-half pairing of Victor Lindelof and Harry Maguire. Given this is a game Liverpool must win, it will be interesting to see if Jurgen Klopp gets Diogo Jota and Roberto Firmino on the pitch together.
Firmino has shown signs of recovering some of his better form in recent weeks but Jota is still Liverpool’s second biggest goal threat and surely must start in a game like this. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Jota given the start on the wing and Sadio Mane left out given no Liverpool player’s form has taken a greater downturn more than the Senegalese star who looks badly in need of a Summer off.
For the reasons outlined above, I’m expecting a low-scoring affair with Under 2.5 Goals and hopefully we can at least make some profit even if we are bored by the football.
Harry Maguire to be carded is a selection that has been kind to us in previous previews and Maguire is now into double figures for cards accumulated in the league this season. The price available looks fair on him to pick up another here.
The Spaniard is still averaging the second most fouls per game in the Premier League this season and I’m prepared to take a chance an another rash tackle here and for Thiago to be carded.
This gives a combined odds of 56/1 and will hopefully bring us some excitement for what could be a dull affair.
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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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