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The only people on this planet who believe Brighton are actually in trouble are Brighton fans, such is the mental torment that comes with the territory.
But if we’ve to try and be positive about this – at least these two sides who are getting what they deserve for being ambitious. The last time these sides tried to defend in a game, we’d to listen to it on the wireless.
Saturday 15:00: Brighton v Leeds
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So if by some act of God you find yourself watching this battle for the ages, you should at least be guaranteed goals. Completely insignificant goals, but goals nonetheless. And that’s already a good deal better than when Sky jinx themselves by calling 4pm kickoffs on a Sunday ‘Super’ isn’t it?
Let’s see if we can grab you some compensation for sitting through this slugfest. Here’s three shrewd wagers.
Short-Price Punt: Both Teams to Score
I always enjoy backing sides to score goals when neither have netted in their previous game in the league.
It generally involves a slap side the head from their gaffers, and Leeds certainly don’t have a passive sort in the dugout. He’s more likely to have them run the Yorkshire moors as punishment than he is to just tell them to ‘focus on the next one’.
With nothing left to fear and neither side truly focused on keeping a clean sheet at this stage of the season, expect goals.
Value Play: The Draw
Taking out Sheffield United, because everyone benefits from them not ruining the statistics, no side have had fewer draws in the Premier League this season than Leeds.
Maybe it’s the link to the San Francisco 49ers who play in a league where they don’t like ties, or simply because Marcelo Bielsa knows that if you win one of every two games, it’s better for you than drawing both – but either way, they don’t settle.
Of course, this time of the season is a bit different and Brighton are the masters of the draw in the league – notching 13; one more than Fulham and three more than anyone else.
Long Shot: 2-2 Draw
I’ve never tipped a scoreline in my life, nor is it a habit I’m really into but if there’s ever been a game of football to scream goals where the sides eventually cancel each other out, it might be this one.
Brighton’s attacking valour has largely gone under-rewarded this year and I feel like they’re due. With that in mind, they do tend to play down to their opposition (even if they’re a better side and ninth in the league) when they’re ahead – ultimately exposing themselves as soft to teams who’ll consistently attack them.
Nineteen of Leeds’ 33 games so far have landed the overs, yet they’ve not had a single 2-2 draw to date. Witchcraft?
Brighton v Leeds betting tips:
Short-Price Punt: Both Teams to Score
Value Play: The Draw
Long Shot: 2-2 Draw
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