Football Tips: Our 16/1 Bet Builder for Brighton v Everton on Monday

Our tipster Andrew Cunneen has done his homework ahead of Monday's clash.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at the time of publication but subject to change

Just to confirm a few things – Brighton, at time of writing, are just a shade of odds-on to beat Everton at home, despite the fact the Toffees are 15 points clear of them.

Now, I understand that Brighton’s xG has shown they’re due a result or two and they’ve since gone on to pick them up against Southampton and Newcastle, but that defeat to Manchester United could easily throw the momentum out the window and have them second-guessing themselves again.

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They’re a bit like your younger brother. You know deep down you want him to succeed because he’s very talented, but you take equal amount of glee in seeing him find new ways to mess it up. Well, Everton know a thing or two about failing to live up to expectations.

And you can fairly much kiss any chance of a top four finish goodbye if they don’t pick up three points here. That should be the primary focus of the tie: not the outlandish hand-gesturing from Carlo, nor the fact that Graham Potter looks like a create-a-player from a FIFA in the mid-00s.

Monday 20:15: Brighton v Everton
Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League

Everton or the Draw

It’s a price thing that I can’t escape. Very rarely do you get an opportunity to back a side who are clearly more talented at these prices, so adding in the draw as extra insurance is even better again. I went to check and see if half of Everton’s squad miss out due to a phantom injury, but no – there’s no widespread injury issues that I can find bar Yerry Mina.

If anything, they could be boosted by the timely return of Allan, and their front three are right as rain. Maybe I’m missing something, but this looks one of the finer prices of the Premier League season so far.

Over 3.5 Goals

It’s just that kind of game. Everton need to force it if they’re to keep up their pre-season goal of finishing top four, and after a disappointing one-all draw with Crystal Palace, this really does feel like a must-win for the Toffees. Since mid-February, Everton have featured in six Premier League games – all of which have seen them more controlled, disciplined and ultimately falling out of contention.

While the earlier brand of football played by Carlo’s men wasn’t sustainable in the long-term, it was certainly going to be recalled at some point in the season when they began to lack creative spark. After three bad results due to overly cautious approaches, I feel like we’re going to see Everton explode onto the scene against a side that don’t know how to be cautious.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score Anytime

I originally wrote Calvert-Lewis by mistake and now I realise how much of a better-sounding surname that is. These tipping sheets really are a learning curve.

What’s the reoccurring theme when I write about Everton? Calvert-Lewin loves playing against sides who defend in fives because he finds the space to attack. For all that they’ve fallen short again, there really isn’t a side in the Premier League who have better crossers of a ball than Everton. Back him to bag here.

Brighton to Score in the First Half

Brighton are among the most balanced sides in the league when it comes to their spread of goals either side of the whistle, and generally, when they’re in games, they score early on.

I don’t foresee them being battered, and therefore they’ll find the gaps in this new-look Everton like West Brom and, oh yeah, Brighton did back in October. In fact, this entire bet builder would have landed in that fixture six months ago. History does often repeat itself, you know.

Brighton v Everton betting tips:

Everton or the Draw
Over 3.5 Goals
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score Anytime
Brighton to Score in the First Half

A Bet Builder on these four best bets pays at approximately 16/1 with Paddy Power.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at the time of publication but subject to change

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What do you think?