Football Tips: Paddy trader’s best bets for this weekend’s Premier League action

Paddy Power trader Emmet O’Keeffe has done his homework ahead of this weekend's action.

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Brighton v Newcastle – Brighton to Have Over 6.5 Corners

Saturday 20:00: Brighton v Newcastle
Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League

This is a crucial game for both sides, especially with Steve Bruce teetering on the verge of the sack. I think we can be confident in the way the game will play out with Newcastle sitting deep and hoping Brighton can gift them a goal on the counter-attack. Newcastle don’t have much of a goal threat with Callum Wilson, Miguel Almiron and Allan Saint-Maximin all out.

You can’t trust Brighton to get the job done at short prices given their history of dominating games but throwing results away. The bet I like is Brighton to Have Over 6.5 Corners. Brighton will dominate the game and pepper Newcastle’s goal, which will lead to corners.

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West Ham v Arsenal – Martin Odegaard to Have a Shot on Target

Sunday 15:00: West Ham v Arsenal
Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League

West Ham were disappointing last week against Man United and they didn’t have a shot until the 57th minute at Old Trafford. That game has put me off backing them this week against Arsenal. Instead of backing a team to win I’m going with Martin Odegaard to Have a Shot on Target. Odegaard plays off the striker, in an attacking role, and he’s chipped in with a couple of goals recently.

Aston Villa v Tottenham – Aston Villa to Win

Sunday 19:30: Aston Villa v Tottenham
Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League

Spurs come into this one on the back of their horror show in the Europa League in midweek. They have had major swings under Jose Mourinho this season. They started really well and were top of the league but they’ve fallen off now. We could see them spiral after their Europa League exit. The key thing here, outside of Spurs’ form, is Jack Grealish’s return.

Since he’s been absent, Villa have been averaging only 3.5 shots per game, whereas when he plays, they average 5.5 shots per game. Grealish could return for Villa this weekend and he’s the difference-maker for them. It’s also worth noting that Son is out for Tottenham in a big blow for Mourinho. Villa are a decent price and they’re worth a punt.

Premier League betting tips summary:

Brighton v NewcastleBrighton to Have Over 6.5 Corners
West Ham v ArsenalMartin Odegaard to Have a Shot on Target
Aston Villa v TottenhamAston Villa to Win

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