Football tips: Our fab 19/1 accumulator for Sunday’s European games

Our European football tipster Paddy Murphy is here to give you a steer on your bets from across the continent.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

14:00 Inter v Genoa: Inter to Win & Both Teams To Score

Beware of the early kick-off folks. Inter had kept up with Milan most of the season and it was no surprise when they overtook their city rivals a few weeks ago. Their form doesn’t look like letting up either, they’ve won five out of their last six Serie A fixtures and have won all eight of their most recent home league matches.

Genoa had looked like they might be in a bother a few weeks ago, but over their last six league matches have been unbeaten. Genoa have found their scoring boots too and have scored at least one in four out of their last five Serie A matches, while Inter are conceding 1.27 per home league match. No doubt Inter will win, but we don’t see them keeping a clean sheet in this one.

Christophe Galtier Lille

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16:00 Lille v Strasbourg: Lille to Win

Ligue 1 leaders Lille are enjoying a great run of league form, they’re undefeated over their eight most recent league matches, winning seven and kept six clean sheets in the process. Strasbourg have only won one of their last five in all competitions and their away league form has seen them winning two of their last five, drawing one and losing two. Lille have beaten Strasbourg in three out of three previous meetings, while just looking at their last five meetings at home against them they’ve won three, drawn one and lost one.

The away side have a good record for away goals this season, scoring 1.54 on average. Lille are conceding just 0.54 though, so while the odds for Both Teams To Score are appealing – Lille’s record of clean sheets makes it a risky punt. We’re going with Lille to extend their impressive home record, take the three points here and remain top of the league.

19:45 Roma v AC Milan: Both Teams To Score No Draw

Roma have really gotten themselves together over the last few weeks and they’re powering up the Serie A table. Indeed, they’re just five points behind second-placed Milan coming into this fixture. Milan’s season needs rescuing now. Pretty much every Serie A fan agreed that they didn’t have the squad to land the title this season, but they’ve pulled off a few surprises over the last few seasons and remain just four points behind Inter. There’s a long way to go yet and a win would heap the pressure back on Inter.

Over the last few league meetings at the Stadio Olimpico Roma have won two, two ended level and only one saw Over 2.5 goals landing. However, both teams are in mighty goal-scoring form. Roma have scored at least two goals in six out of seven previous home Serie A matches, while Milan have netted at least two in 14 of their last 15 away matches. Both teams are good enough to beat each other here and we’re getting some good value on the Both Teams To Score No Draw.

20:00 Villarreal v Atletico Madrid: Both Teams To Score

The pressure is really mounting on Atletico now, they’re three points ahead of Real Madrid at the top of the table with one game fewer played. At first glance the odds for them to win are pretty high here, the reason? They’ve only won this fixture in one out of their last six attempts, losing three and drawing two.

Villarreal’s home form has only seen them winning one of their last five, drawing three and losing one. Meanwhile Atletico have now gone six away matches without defeat, winning five and drawing one. They’re not keeping clean sheets on the road though, so Villarreal can make things really awkward.

With their record for home draws, and having scored in 14 out of 15 previous home La Liga matches, they’ll be confident of at least frustrating Diego Simeone’s side here. Getting Both Teams To Score at at the price available here is mighty value with those stats.

European football tips summary:

14:00 Inter v Genoa: Inter to Win & Both Teams To Score
16:00 Lille v Strasbourg: Lille to Win
19:45 Roma v AC Milan: Both Teams To Score No Draw
20:00 Villarreal v Atletico Madrid: Both Teams To Score

* An accumulator on these four best bets pays at approximately 19/1 with Paddy Power.

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