Football Tips: The 3 best bets as Man City head to Burnley on Wednesday

Our tipster Andrew Cunneen takes a look at Burnley's tough assignment against the impenetrable Manchester City on Wednesday.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

No opposition player has scored a goal against Manchester City in regulation time in over 1,100 minutes of Premier League action. While many of us questioned their slow, methodical build-up that was a bit of a comedown from their all-conquering 100-goal season from a few campaigns ago, it’s now bearing fruit.

And it’s not those frozen berries you get down your local Aldi for forty-nine pence – oh no. Manchester City are the handpicked, twice-washed cream of the crop.

Wednesday 6pm: Burnley v Manchester City
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Not only has Pep Guardiola got a second wind – a reinvention of sorts that was being handed to Jose Mourinho as an excuse – he’s completely transformed the way his side play with the ball, but more importantly without it. Jose still has a heart palpitation every time Spurs gain possession anywhere inside their own half.

And with Burnley’s recent run of form culminating in six points and then 2-0 loss to what appears to be next year’s Premier League contenders to Man City in Thomas Tuchel’s Chelsea, they’ll be content to not try and scalp City here and live to fight another day. Look, everyone’s happy. 2021 is off to a stormer. Here’s your three best bets for this seemingly already-finalised Wednesday night clash.

Safe Bet: Man City to Keep a Clean Sheet

The last time City conceded a goal that mattered in the league was on November 21st to Tottenham’s Giovani Lo Celso. They’re a different animal without Sergio Aguero, and because they lack his pressing ability from the front, they’re forced to sit more compact and depend on individual brilliance a bit more than their typical systematic approach.

It’s working a treat in the final third, but it also makes them more daunting to play against. Burnley’s goals typically come from moving the ball quickly, but they’ve got bodies forward when they do that.

Not only will Sean Dyche not allow that to happen in the first place, but even when they do – at best, they’ll be left four-v-four, and be snuffed out quicker than Eddie Howe’s tinkered CV. There’s more chance of Jack Grealish finding a decent barber than there is of Burnley finding the net here. The safest bet is Man City to Keep a Clean Sheet.

Value Punt: Raheem Sterling to Score Anytime

There’s a real sense that Raheem Sterling is lagging behind because he was part of the largest scoring machine in Premier League history only a handful of seasons ago. The knock-on effect is that people are beginning to wonder if he should be in England’s front three this summer.

Folks, he’s one of the best players in world football – and just because he’s potentially under the radar in this system doesn’t mean he isn’t a brilliant cog in a mighty wheel. His movement bodes well against Burnley and Sterling to Score Anytime is a good-value play.

Long Shot: Man City to Win by Four or More

It’s more the value that appeals here as always, but City haven’t won a game by three goals all season – they’ve either been comfortable and slow to score because of that, or they’ve been on it and hit four or five. Just in case they’re in the latter form, I find some comfort in backing Man City to Win by Four or More at the prices.

3 best bets for Burnley v Man City

Man City to Keep a Clean Sheet
Raheem Sterling to Score Anytime
Man City to Win by Four or More

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

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