Football Tips: Paddy trader’s top Premier League Sunday selections

Paddy's top football trader Jason Murphy guides you through two of the most interesting games in the Premier League on Sunday.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

12pm: Chelsea v Burnley

I’m looking forward to this one. I enjoyed watching what Thomas Tuchel tried implementing the other night against Wolves. Wolves were very defensive but Chelsea could have probably looked to create a few more chances.

Sunday 12pm: Chelsea v Burnley
BT Sport 1 and BT Sport Ultimate

We always try and give you value here and looking at the value, Chelsea should win the game but I just think the price is too short. The value, therefore, is siding with Burnley. This is a Burnley side who have beaten Arsenal and Liverpool away from home this season.

Burnley/Draw Double Chance

If they keep a clean sheet the bet I’m giving you will click. They’ve got Nick Pope in the goal and that gives them a very good chance of doing that. My first bet in this one is Burnley/Draw in the Double Chance market. Chelsea are just too short but for this game that’s where the value is.

Chris Wood to Score First

I’m a big fan of siding with Ashley Barnes in the goalscoring markets for this game. Barnes and Chris Wood are similar to Mo Salah and Sadio Mane in that they’re often priced very closely but I like to side with the penalty taker.

Barnes is a doubt for this game and for that reason, if I’m looking for a Burnley scorer and he doesn’t start, I just have to look at Wood. His header against Aston Villa was like something you’d see from Cristiano Ronaldo!

If he gets a chance against Chelsea, which I think he will, I fancy him to get his head on another chance and for me I’d be siding with Chris Wood to Score First, particularly if Ashley Barnes doesn’t start.

2pm: Leicester v Leeds

This is a fascinating one and I’m really looking forward to it. Leeds are one of the hardest teams to judge and the market can’t judge them either. Their prices don’t match up.

The markets might fancy Leeds one week and then go completely against them the next. They just can’t suss them out so what we do is we look at Leicester to start with.

Sunday 2pm: Leicester v Leeds
Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League

I thought they should have got a win against an under-strength Everton who were missing the likes of Abdoulaye Doucoure and Allan in midfield in particular. If you’re looking at this Leicester team against Leeds they beat them 4-1 first time around and Brendan Rodgers was all smiles afterwards.

Leeds/Draw Double Chance

A big factor in that was Jamie Vardy’s pace with Leeds being so open but he’s out for this game. For me, with Leicester at odds on, I’m not happy to back that even if Vardy was fit. For that reason, I’d be looking to side with Leeds and oppose that. So, Leeds/Draw Double Chance would be the bet.

Patrick Bamford to Score First

I’m definitely expecting goals in this game and we’ll see plenty of shots. I can’t put anyone off Raphinha, he looks incredible and is getting on the end of chances, busting a gut to get into the box when they’re on the break.

But I’m going to stick with Patrick Bamford to Score First. I’ve been bigging him up all season and I still think he’s value in the top goal scorer market as well.

Jason’s Sunday tips

12pm: Chelsea v Burnley
Burnley/Draw Double Chance
Chris Wood to Score First

2pm: Leicester v Leeds
Leeds/Draw Double Chance
Patrick Bamford To Score First

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change

More Tips For Sunday

Get the latest Premier League odds on PaddyPower.com

THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO RESPONSIBLE GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW