* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
If Manchester United want to be in the title race than this game is massive and they have to get a win against Burnley. Turf Moor is not an easy place to go to and that’s why I’m going to tip up Manchester United to win by exactly 1 goal.
If United win it’s going to be tight but I don’t think United lose this game. Their away record is fantastic. They’re unbeaten in their last 14 away games which is incredible.
But, for this tip, if you look at five of Burnley’s last six games where there’s been a winner in the match, it’s by exactly 1 goal. In United’s last seven games, five of them have been by one goal.
Tuesday 8.15pm: Burnley v Man Utd
Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Football
If you’re a United fan and you’re looking for a goal scorer, Marcus Rashford is probably the man of the moment. I know Bruno Fernandes has been incredible in terms of the impact he’s had on the team, but Rashford, if you look at his last five fixtures, United’s First Goal has been scored by Rashford four times. He is the go-to man if you’re looking for a first goal scorer for United.
I am just going to bring your attention to Ashley Barnes for Burnley. He scored in this match at Old Trafford last time and he’s Burnley’s penalty taker. He was injured earlier in the season and that’s why he probably hasn’t got more goals.
If Burnley get a penalty he will take it and if you look at David De Gea’s penalty record – he hasn’t saved a penalty since April 2016 and that includes not saving any of the last 19 he’s faced in the Premier League.
If both teams were fully fit, I’d find it hard to pick them with Everton possibly slight favs, but we know Wolves are missing Raul Jimenez. Wolves have conceded the opening goal in their last seven matches so at the back and up top it hasn’t been great for them so far.
After 17 games played it’s the lowest points total they’ve had since being back in the Premier League so it’s really hard to side with Wolves. However, they’re favourites for this game and the reason for that is the injuries on Everton’s side.
Tuesday 8.15pm: Wolves v Everton
Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Arena
We’re told Dominic Calvert-Lewin is out, Allen as well. There’s a fitness doubt over Richarlison as well and this all plays into the tip. I’m going to put up Everton Draw No Bet.
If Richarlison doesn’t play I think the price is still a fair bet but if he does play, I’d be quite happy to take it at the price. In terms of Everton’s away record they’ve actually won five of their eight games away from home which is equal to what they got last season.
Wolves are struggling at the moment and you’d rather be looking to side with Everton in terms of betting markets for this game.
In terms of a goal scorer, Wolves always keep it tight and they always have low-scoring games. It’s very hard to pinpoint a scorer for them. You can have a look at Romain Saiss. He’s scored a few recently but I think he hadn’t scored in about 40 games prior to that.
For me the tip I’m going to give is Gylfi Sigurdsson to Score First. The reason being that he’s on penalties and even if Richarlison starts, Sigurdsson will be taking penalties and he’ll be on set pieces as well.
For me I still think there’s value in his price. If you’re watching this match and want a First Goal Scorer bet then Sigurdsson, at that price, is the best value on offer.
Jason’s tips for Tuesday night
Burnley v Man Utd
Wolves v Everton
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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