For Sunday’s Euro Acca we’re off to Italy’s Serie A for two matches. Udinese are slipping down the table and Napoli are coming to town. Juventus are home to Sassuolo later in the day, both teams are in the Top 5 and can make some ground on the leading teams with a win.
In between we’re visiting the Netherlands where the top two, Ajax and PSV will battle it out for top spot at the Johan Cruyff Arena. Finally, to Spain then, where at the wrong end of the table Valladolid host Valencia with both sides desperate for the win. Let’s have a look then for some value bets.
Udinese haven’t won any of their last five Serie A matches, drawing three and losing two – scoring just four goals in the process. Napoli’s form isn’t the greatest, but the market is making them favourites here. They’ve won just one of their last five in the league, drawing one and losing three. Their away form has seen them winning three and losing two though, and they’ve beaten Udinese in three out of four recent visits.
Most worryingly of all for Udinese is that they’ve failed to score now in four of their last seven home matches, while Napoli have kept three out of six clean sheets on their league travels. With Udinese’s worsening record and lack of goals matched with Napoli’s good record at the Stadio Friuli, we have to go with the away side here.
Ajax are heavy favourites to take the three points here, even though PSV have the better record of late. Ajax have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five in the league, while PSV have won four and drawn one.
It’s their contrasting home vs away record where we see a huge difference. Ajax have won four of their last five home league ties, losing the other one. Meanwhile, PSV have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five on the road in the league.
Ajax have won four of their previous five matches against PSV at home and kept the away side scoreless in three of them. Three of those five matches saw Under 2.5 goals, and Both Teams To Score only landed in two. However, six out of the last seven home matches for Ajax have seen them winning and Over 2.5 goals occurring, and Overs has also landed in four out of the last five PSV away matches.
Juventus’ beating of Serie A leaders AC Milan midin week has firmly put them back into the title race. They’re seven points behind with a game in hand and are back scoring plenty of goals. Sassuolo cannot be dismissed here though, they’re just a point behind Juve in the league and have lost just one of their last eight away Serie A matches.
However, Sassuolo’s record at Juventus is pretty bad. They’ve lost seven out of eight previous visits there (drawing just one, a 2-2 last season). Five of those eight matches saw Over 2.5 goals and both teams are enjoying high scoring records – 1.86 goals for Juve at home and 2.13 for Sassuolo on the road.
Both teams find themselves hovering just above the relegation places at the moment and really need to start putting wins together. The home outfit have at least won a few of late, two out of their five most recent, drawing two and losing one. But, Valencia are in real trouble, they’ve won none of their last eight league matches.
At home Valladolid have won two, drawn one and lost two. While for their part, Valencia have lost two and drawn three of their last five away matches. Four out of the last five meetings between the sides here have seen Under 2.5 goals and, with both teams missing a few players and being in bad form, this one doesn’t look to have goals written all over it.
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