For Sunday’s Euro Acca we’re taking a look at some of the top teams in Germany’s Bundesliga, Spain’s La Liga and Italy’s Serie A. Borussia Dortmund welcome Wolfsburg to the Westfeldstadion and later in the afternoon then in Spain Alaves host La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid.
Then we’re off to Italy were Serie A table toppers AC Milan are away to Benevento and, finally, seventh-placed Juventus are at home to Udinese. Let’s have a look at where we’re found some value in the betting markets.
Dortmund have shown some glimpses of greatness under interim coach Edin Terzic. The Croatian manager has been at the helm now for three matches (two league and one cup match) winning two and losing one. The improvements have been in defence where it’s been badly needed, Dortmund rarely have problems going forward, but their defensive play was a mess under previous manager Lucien Favre.
Dortmund’s home record isn’t fantastic, losing all three of their most recent league matches. Wolfsburg aren’t exactly world beaters though and they’ve won just one of their last five on the road in the league, drawing three and losing one. Dortmund have won three out of the last five meetings between the sides here, with Over 2.5 goals witnessed in three of them as well.
There’s plenty of goals in both sides too, Dortmund have been averaging 2.33 in their home matches while Wolfsburg have been scoring 1.33 in their away matches. The away side have been really hit by injuries as well, they’re missing 12 squad players here in all and an improved Dortmund side should take all three points. The value odds are with Dortmund to Win & Overs here.
Atletico are now favourites to win La Liga and only Real Madrid can put a stop to it, they’re two points behind their city rivals, but have played two more matches. Alaves could be in for a tough afternoon here, they’ve won just two of their eight home La Liga matches this season, drawing four and losing two – while Atletico have won four, drawn one and lost one.
Over their four most recent visits to Alaves, the away side have won two and drawn two – winning five out of their seven most recent home and away matches against them. Atletico have the meanest defence going as they’ve conceded just five goals over their 14 league games this season and kept Alaves scoreless in three out of four recent visits.
Benevento have won just one of their last five home matches, drawing two and losing two. Milan have been in mighty form for their part and they’ve lost just one of their last 15 away Serie A matches, winning four and drawing one of their last four on their league travels.
The away side should come away with the win here and the market is heavily siding with them. But, it has to be mentioned that Benevento are averaging 1.14 goals per home league match, while Milan are averaging 2.14 and conceding 1.0. Over 2.5 goals has been seen in nine out of Milan’s last 10 away Serie A matches, and that trend should continue here. We’re backing Milan to Win & Over 2.5 Goals.
Juventus have won this fixture nine times out of the last 10 in all competitions, and the market very much reflects that. Udinese failed to score in five of those 10 matches, but this season they’ve scored in all but two of their away league matches.
Juve’s record for clean sheets isn’t great of late, they’ve only kept one over their last six Serie A matches and only one in their five most recent at home. There’s decent odds here for Both Teams To Score, especially as Udinese are averaging 1.50 goals per away league matches this campaign.
14:30 Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsburg: Dortmund to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
15:15 Alaves v Atletico Madrid: Alaves Under 0.5 Goals
17:00 Benevento v AC Milan: Milan to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
19:45 Juventus v Udinese: Both Teams To Score
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