Group D winners Liverpool face potential wooden spoon recipients Midtjylland in one of Wednesday’s early evening Champions League kickoffs. The Danes have just one point from their five matches so far and are on -9 goals. Only Hungarian side Ferencvaros have a worse record with one point and -11 goals.
With a heavily-rotated side taking the field can Liverpool heap more pain on their opponents? More importantly, where’s the value? We’ve gone through the stats and potential lineups and found a Same Game Multi that could get us all over the midweek hump in great shape.
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While Liverpool’s Champions League matches haven’t been chockablock with goals so far this season, this game will see a few of the fringe players get their opportunity to give manager Jurgen Klopp a selection headache.
The Reds have scored nine over their five matches so far, with the standout performance the 0-5 away victory over Atalanta, who then got some revenge with their 0-2 win at Anfield a few weeks later.
Midtjylland are in decent scoring form too with eight over their five most recent home matches and have eight over their four home Champions League matches, two of which were qualifiers. They have nothing to lose here and really the motivation to not finish as the worst of the worst in this year’s competition will egg them on to try and get something against a Liverpool ‘B team’.
That lineup though should see Diogo Jota leading the line with Divok Origi and Takumi Minamino playing in support, and it’s the perfect game for the latter two to get their first goals of the season. Jota has been on fire in the Champions League with four goals in five matches as well as five in nine in the Premier League. We’ve got a team desperate for goals playing against players desperate to impress their manager, so we’re going with goals here.
As just mentioned the Portuguese striker has been a bit of a revelation since joining the Anfield ranks. He’s been scoring far more goals than expected and his link-up play has even seen Jurgen Klopp drop Robert Firmino from time to time. He’s also replaced Origi as Liverpool’s Plan B forward and while the Liverpool faithful hold the Belgian in high regard thanks to some crucial goals over the years, Jota is a step up in class.
Jota has two in three of his last starts for Liverpool and has four so far over his three Champions League starts. He’s going to be on the ball a good deal of the time against Midtjylland here and we’re getting decent odds on a player in good form to score anytime.
Midtjylland have been pretty dire all season in the Champions League with four losses and one draw, and they’ve only managed to score three goals over their five Group Stage matches, conceding 12. Liverpool’s away record in the tournament over the past couple of seasons have seen them win seven of their last 10 on the road, losing the other three.
Those matches were away to Barcelona, Napoli and Atletico Madrid. The odds are up at Evens because Klopp is going to play a rotated side but in the last three matches where Liverpool have been priced at Evens or above they’ve won two and drawn one. It’s rare enough these days to see the Reds priced so high so we’re getting plenty of value for them to win here.
Midtjylland have scored a grand total of one first-half goal over their four European matches this season, scoring seven in the second half. Looking at Liverpool’s defensive record on the road in the Champions League they’ve managed to concede just two first-half goals over their nine most recent away matches in the competitions. With records like that they should be able to keep the home side quiet during the first 45 minutes.
*All odds in copy and recording correct at time of publication. Odds are subject to change but they’re always bang on with our clever betting banners.
Midtjylland v Liverpool tips
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