That was a fun weekend of Premier League action, wasn’t it? The next Man Utd manager odds market kicked into overdrive after a 0-3 hiding from Spurs? Yeah, it’s Spurs, lads. Their previous home league games was a 0-3 spanking by Liverpool.
Man City were held by Newcastle while Arsenal, Liverpool, and Chelsea all recorded wins. The top 5 is currently Liverpool, City, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Aston Villa, who could only manage a point away to Ipswich.
Our football tipster Andrew Beasley‘s on hand to go through the weekend’s action and analyse the betting patterns beginning to emerge…
Week six of the 2024/25 Premier League season means every team has played three at home and three on the road. The patterns and trends are starting to take shape. Here’s some we noticed this weekend.
The Late Late Mo
Mohamed Salah scored his most important goal of the season at Molineux on Saturday evening. He grabbed Liverpool’s winner from the penalty spot in their 1-2 victory over Wolves, when his four other goals in all competitions were bagged with the Reds at least one ahead.
However, he maintained a theme of his campaign. All of Salah’s goals have been scored in the second halves of matches. In the league, all four have been the final goal of the game. If you’re looking to pick a goal scorer bet in play and the Liverpool are in town, keep Mo in mind.
Fulham full of shocks
Last season there were 73 upset wins according to the odds, almost two per week. We only saw five across the first five weeks of the campaign, though there were two this weekend.
There likely won’t be one as enormous as Nottingham Forest winning at Anfield again for a while. Nuno Espirito Santo’s boys also defied the (much smaller) odds to win at Southampton. However, they got a taste of their own medicine from Fulham this week, who claimed an upset victory for the second successive week after thumping Newcastle 3-1.
Since losing at Old Trafford, a weird statement for anyone other than Manchester United, the Whites have deserved to win every match according to expected goals. They may not be underdogs against non-big six sides for too much longer.
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Haaland on Target
Newcastle pulled off one of the unlikelier draws of the season so far, at least according to the pre-match odds, by holding Manchester City 1-1 at St James’ Park.
The Magpies deserve a bonus point for keeping Erling Haaland off the score sheet. The Premier League should implement this rule, it might make City’s games interesting for a change.
Haaland might not have scored but he had two shots on target, maintaining his record of doing so in every league match this term. Only 24 players amassed more such games in the whole of 2023/24. His name is Erl, and he’s in a class of his own in the shots on target markets.
Who are you, and what have you done with Sean Dyche?
Everton were a tough watch last season. Their games averaged just 2.4 goals when every other team in the Premier League was north of three. The Toffees also saw the fewest matches in which both teams scored and/or Over 2.5 Goals.
Yet this season, five of Everton’s six matches have featured at least three goals, with their total goals per game average of 3.67, which is the joint-highest of any side. Having squandered leads in their previous three league games, Sean Dyche’s team came from behind to beat Crystal Palace 2-1 on Saturday. Nothing is what it seems at Goodison Park anymore.
Card happy Sam
Referee Samuel Barrott is relatively inexperienced in the top flight, with last season his first in the Premier League.
In none of his 15 games in 2023/24 did he show at least six yellow cards. He’s making up for that, though, by hitting that mark in all five of his games this term.
This includes Arsenal’s dramatic 4-2 win over Leicester on Saturday. He booked four Foxes, three of them for dissent, and carded manager Steve Cooper for that offence, too. His card wouldn’t count in betting terms, but check which match Barrott is doing next week and consider a card bet.
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