Odds tumble on Guardiola’s Pepxit with Man City’s day of reckoning on the horizon

This will be much more interesting than the title race ever was.


Finally, something to get excited about. Will Manchester City, the team that have spent billions to win the thing, be banned from the Champions League or not?

We’re supposedly about to find out for definite next week with the Court of Arbitration for Sport set to deliver their verdict on whether UEFA’S two-year Champions League ban for City is sticking, being reduced or maybe even scrapped altogether.

And with that day of reckoning on the horizon, we’ve seen the odds of boss Pep Guardiola leaving City take a tumble. He’s now as short as 7/4 to leave City this summer while Mauricio Pochettino is favourite to replace him and Barcelona is Guardiola’s most-likely next destination.

Pep Guardiola

We also make it 6/4 that Pep Guardiola’s side fail to win their appeal and be banned from European football for the next two years. However, we think there will be some leniency and think it’s even more likely for that ban to be reduced to just a year at 4/5.

They’re now out to 8/1 to win their appeal and avoid a ban and a lengthy 50/1 to win their appeal and then go on to lift next year’s Champions League trophy. Those short odds on an appeal loss have also impacted other markets and helped the shortening on a Pepxit.

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And, with Kevin de Bruyne previously stating that the ban could impact his future at the club, it’s rated 8/1 that he leaves if the ban’s upheld, with Real Madrid rated 3/1 favourites ahead of Barcelona 4/1 to sign him.

The ban could well spell the end of Pep’s time at the club as well as that of star player De Bruyne. The good news, though, is that they’re still second-favourites to win this year’s trophy regardless.


4/5 To be banned for one year instead of two
6/4 To be officially banned for the next two years from Champions League
7/4 Pep Guardiola to leave the club this summer
3/1 To win 19/20 Champions League
8/1 To win their appeal (and not be banned)
8/1 To lose their appeal, and Kevin de Bruyne to leave
12/1 To win the Champions League in 22/23
50/1 To win their appeal, then go on and win next year’s Champions League

*All odds correct at time of publication*

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What do you think?