Boxing Tips: Jake Paul v Tommy Fury best bets – including a punchy 25/1 punt

Our trader Sean Taylor weighs up this epic YouTube vs Love Island tussle.

Jake Paul


Jake Paul v Tommy Fury betting tips

Fight to be a draw
Fight to go the distance
Jake Paul to win in Round 7
Jake Paul to win in Round 8

Jake Paul v Tommy Fury
Sunday 10pm, BT Sport Box Office

This may well be the lowest level pay-per-view fight you ever find me writing a preview for, let alone having a bet on, yet here we are. It’s hard to know where to start for a fight like this.

Neither fighter is particularly good at boxing. The combined record of Tommy Fury’s eight opponents is 24-176-5. That’s just laughable in all honesty. Four of those opponents have never won a fight.

The early career pathway for most prospects involves fighting five or six times a year in different shows around the country. Fury has fought eight times since 2018, never fighting more than twice in a year.

I’m not here to throw stones at him for making a career as an influencer *shudders*, but it’s very hard to know what to make of his boxing abilities given the level of opposition. I haven’t been impressed by any of his performances whatsoever. To me, his fights so far have largely been showcases, rather than an opportunity for him to learn and improve.

On Jake Paul, the biggest compliment I can give him is that he isn’t completely awful. For a guy who made his pro debut in 2020, he should probably be much worse than he is.

Like Fury’s level of opposition, it’s really not worth reading into. However, I do think it’s worth calling out that Paul’s win over Anderson Silva is better than any of Fury’s wins by a considerable distance. Anyway, onto the bets.

Fight to be a draw, Fight to go the distance

I’m not keen on this fight ending inside the distance. From a purely financial perspective, this fight ending in a controversial draw is the ideal scenario for both fighters.

At the time of writing, I don’t yet know who the judges are but don’t be surprised to see a weird scorecard from any British judges who may be officiating. British officials have blotted their own copybook of late with some notably bad judging.

In an eight-round fight, with potential for some nervy opening rounds, it wouldn’t take a lot for this fight to be close.

Neither fighter is technically good enough to run away with this fight on the scorecards so the draw at a big price looks a nice play.

Paul to win in Round 7, Paul to win in Round 8

I’m contradicting myself here as I’ve said I’m not overly keen on this fight going the distance. However, the late finish props are always a nice angle at big prices if you do fancy a fight to go the distance.

There’s a whole host of unknowns about both fighters. I wouldn’t be confident in making any statements about Fury’s chin or cardio. Fury’s KO upside is minimal at best, so I have less concerns about what Paul’s chin is like.

‘The Problem Child’ did go the full eight rounds against Anderson Silva which is a plus but how big a plus that is remains to be seen. I don’t expect this bout to be fought at a frantic pace, so the cardio isn’t that much of a concern, but it is worth noting the lack of form to go on.

Jake Paul is my pick to win but at 4/5, it’s a pass from me, so I think the late KO props are worth a look at bigger prices. Paul is the more powerful of the two and has considerably more KO upside which makes these prices playable.

Jake Paul v Tommy Fury tips

Fight to be a draw
Fight to go the distance
Jake Paul to win in Round 7
Jake Paul to win in Round 8

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.



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